摘要
以2013—2020年湖南省湘西州8个县市农村经济为研究对象,利用标准差法、离散系数法、单一指标法、TOPSIS法探析其时空差异,并借助逐步回归模型、地理加权回归模型分析其影响因素。结果表明,就时空差异而言,2013—2020年湘西州8个县市农村经济的绝对差异呈扩大趋势,在发展速度上的相对差异则呈缩小趋势;湘西州各县市农村经济发展总体上较为平稳,农村经济发达区和欠发达区的数量均上升,湘西州西南部的农村经济发展水平明显高于其他区域。就影响因素而言,地区生产总值、旅游收入、农林牧渔专业及辅助性活动产值与农村经济发展水平呈正相关关系,乡村劳动力资源总数与农村经济发展水平呈负相关关系。在此基础上,提出合理统筹区域农村经济发展,进行整体规划;调整优化产业结构,挖掘特色旅游资源,发展优势农业及相关产业,加强农村人才队伍建设等缩小地域农村经济差异、助力实现乡村全面振兴的建议。
Taking rural economy of 8 counties and cities in Xiangxi Prefecture of Hunan Province from 2013 to 2020 as the research object,the study analyzes spatial-temporal differences by the standard deviation,discrete coefficient,single index and TOPSIS method,and analyzes influencing factors by the stepwise regression model and geographically weighted regression model.The results show that,in terms of spatial-temporal differences,absolute differences of rural economy in 8 counties and cities in Xiangxi Prefecture from 2013 to 2020 show an increasing trend,while relative differences in the development speed show a decreasing trend.The rural economic development of all counties and cities in Xiangxi Prefecture is relatively stable on the whole,both of the numbers of developed and underdeveloped areas in rural economy increase,and the level of rural economic development in southwest Xiangxi Prefecture is obviously higher than that in other regions.In terms of influencing factors,the gross regional product,tourism income,and agricultural,forestry,animal husbandry and fishery specialty and auxiliary activity output value are positively correlated with the level of rural economic development,while the total number of rural labor resources is negatively correlated with the level of rural economic development.Hence,the study puts forward some suggestions to narrow the rural economic differences among different regions and help realize comprehensive rural revitalization:reasonably coordinating regional rural economic development,and making overall planning;adjusting and optimizing the industrial structure,tapping characteristic tourism resources,developing advantageous agricultural and related industries,and strengthening the construction of rural talent team.
作者
何林海
钟颖
李佳嘉
吴吉林
陈云霞
邓子怡
HE Lin-hai;ZHONG Ying;LI Jia-jia;WU Ji-lin;CHEN Yun-xia;DENG Zi-yi(School of Civil Engineering&Architecture,Jishou University,Zhangjiajie 427000,PRC)
出处
《湖南农业科学》
2024年第4期85-92,共8页
Hunan Agricultural Sciences
基金
国家级大学生创新训练项目(202110531011)。
关键词
乡村振兴
农村经济
时空差异
影响因素
地理加权回归模型
湘西州
rural revitalization
rural economy
spatial-temporal differences
influencing factors
geographically weighted regression model
Xiangxi Prefecture
