摘要
农业全球价值链(AGVC)作为全球国际分工的载体对各国现代产业体系和产业结构转型升级产生重要影响。文章在构建农业全球价值链促进产业结构转型升级理论模型的基础上,运用2007—2019年全球60个国家的面板数据,检验了农业全球价值链嵌入对产业结构转型升级的影响及其作用机制。研究发现:①AGVC嵌入通过产业融合中的农业工业化和农业服务业化两条途径促进产业结构合理化和高级化,从而实现产业结构转型升级,AGVC参与度越高的国家,农业工业化与农业服务业化程度越高,产业结构转型升级也更快;②AGVC上游嵌入对结构高级化和结构合理化均产生较明显的促进作用,而AGVC下游嵌入仅对产业结构合理化产生影响,对产业结构高级化影响不显著;③AGVC嵌入对发展中国家产业结构合理化和产业结构高级化均存在显著的正向影响,而对于发达国家而言,AGVC嵌入仅通过农业服务业化带动产业结构高级化。未来,基于我国新发展格局和产业结构发展阶段判断,需要坚定不移地构建以国内大循环为主体的双循环发展战略,形成高水平的农业对外开放发展新格局;加快农业领域科技创新与国际合作,增强国际市场竞争力;坚持农业工业化和农业服务业化双轮驱动,推动产业结构转型升级。
The Agricultural Global Value Chain(AGVC)serves as a conduit for global international division of labor,signifi-cantly impacting the modern industrial systems and structural transformation of countries.Building upon a theoretical model promoting industrial structural transformation,this study employs panel data from 60 countries spanning 2007-2019 to exam-ine the impact and mechanisms of AGVC integration on industrial structural transformation.The findings reveal:(1)AGVC integration,facilitated through agricultural industrialization and servicization,promotes the rationalization and advancement of industrial structures,with higher AGVC participation associated with faster transforma-tions;(2)Upstream AGVC integration notably fosters structural advancement and rationalization,while downstream integra-tion predominantly affects structural rationalization,with insignificant impact on structural advancement;(3)AGVC integra-tion has a significant positive influence on structural rationalization and advancement in developing countries,whereas in de-veloped countries,it primarily drives structural advancement through agricultural servicization.Looking forward,based on China's new development paradigm and the stage of industrial structural development,it is imperative to steadfastly construct a dual-cycle development strategy with domestic circulation as the main focus.This aims to establish a high-level pattern for the new development of agricultural openness,accelerate technological innovation and in-ternational cooperation in the agricultural sector,enhance international market competitiveness,and persist in the dual-drive approach of agricultural industrialization and servicization to propel industrial structural transformation and upgrading.
作者
文春晖
郭骞谦
Wen Chunhui;Guo Qianqian
出处
《南方经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2024年第4期132-150,共19页
South China Journal of Economics
基金
中共湖南省委外事工作委员会办公室项目“湖南推进中非农业产业合作的机制与路径研究”(2022xczx-489)
湖南省中非经贸合作促进研究会项目“中非经贸深度合作先行区与非洲贸易便利化合作突破研究项目”(xczx-2023160)资助。
关键词
农业全球价值链
产业融合
产业结构转型
Agricultural Global Value Chain
Industrial Integration
Industrial Structure Transformation
