摘要
新时代我国数字经济高速发展,数字经济所依托的数字技术进步给劳动力市场带来了强烈冲击。文章通过构建理论模型,分析了数字技术进步对农村家庭劳动力供给的影响机制,并运用宏观数据和CFPS微观数据进行实证检验。研究表明:数字技术进步会显著增加农村剩余劳动力供给,并且由于个体的时间配置偏好不同,导致该影响具有群体异质性。具体来说,数字技术进步能够显著提高农村青年劳动力群体外出打工的意愿,但对中老年劳动力群体的影响并不显著,从而在家庭内部出现明显分工,形成了“青年打工,中老年务农”的就业局面。此外,进一步分析表明,数字技术进步会通过改善健康水平,间接促进农村剩余劳动力外出打工,并为农村低技能群体和落后地区的发展提供机遇,具有“雪中送炭”效应。
In the new era,China’s digital economy is developing at a high speed,and the digital technology advancement on which the digital economy is based has brought a strong impact on the labour market.By con-structing a theoretical model,the article analyses the mechanism of the impact of digital technology advance-ment on the labour supply of rural households,and empirically tests it using macro data and CFPS micro data.The study shows that digital technology advancement can significantly increase rural surplus labour supply.Besides,the effect is group heterogeneous due to different time allocation preferences of individuals.Specifi-cally,digital technology advancement can significantly increase the willingness of rural youth labour groups to go out to work,but the impact on middle-aged and old-aged labour groups is not significant,resulting in a clear division of labour within the family and the formation of an employment situation in which“young people work and middle-aged and old-aged people work in agriculture”.In addition,further analyses show that digi-tal technology advancement will indirectly promote the rural surplus labour force to work outside the country-side through the improvement of the health level,and provide opportunities for the development of low-skilled groups and backward areas in rural areas,which has the effect of“sending charcoal out of snow”.
作者
王少国
句国艳
WANG Shao-guo;JU Guo-yan
出处
《求是学刊》
北大核心
2023年第6期79-93,共15页
Seeking Truth
基金
国家社会科学基金一般项目“公平导向的差别化收入再分配机制研究”(21BJL012)。
关键词
数字技术进步
农村剩余劳动力
时间配置偏好
家庭劳动分工
“雪中送炭”效应
digital technology advancement
rural surplus labour
time allocation preferences
division of labour in the household
the“timely help”effect
