摘要
从社会资源系统、经济资源系统和生态资源系统中选取16个指标,构建综合评价指标体系,通过熵权法和TOPSIS法测度安徽省2007—2021年的资源承载力,借助Dagum基尼系数对皖南、皖中、皖北地区进行资源承载力的差异分析,并运用灰色预测模型预测安徽省2022—2026年的资源承载力。结果表明:(1)安徽省资源承载力整体发展态势较为平稳,逐年缓慢上升,向好发展;(2)皖南、皖中、皖北三地区间资源承载力差异明显,且变化幅度较大;(3)预测结果表明,安徽省资源承载力在2022—2026年呈上升趋势。
This article selects 16 indicators from the social resource system economic resource system and ecological resource system to construct an evaluation index system.The resource carrying capacity of Anhui Province from 2007 to 2021 is measured using entropy weight method and TOPSIS method.The Dagum Gini coefficient is used to analyze the differences in resource carrying capacity in the southern central and northern regions of Anhui Province and the grey prediction model is used to predict the resource carrying capacity of Anhui Province from 2022 to 2026.The results indicate that a The overall development trend of resource carrying capacity in Anhui Province is relatively stable with a slow increase year by year and a positive development trend.b There are significant differences in resource carrying capacity among the three regions of southern Anhui central Anhui and northern Anhui with significant changes.c The prediction results indicate that the resource carrying capacity of Anhui Province will show an upward trend from 2022 to 2026.
作者
孔玉
何刚
张静怡
何训喜
彭振军
Kong Yu;He Gang;Zhang Jingyi;He Xunxi;Peng Zhenjun(College of Economics and Management Anhui University of Science and Technology,Huainan Anhui 232001 China)
出处
《河北环境工程学院学报》
CAS
2024年第1期34-40,48,共8页
Journal of Hebei University of Environmental Engineering
基金
教育部人文社科规划基金(22YJAZH025)
2023年淮南市学习贯彻习近平新时代中国特色社会主义四星规划重点课题(SXGH2023-08)
安徽理工大学基金项目(2023cx2160)。
