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我国蔬菜出口发达国家的制约因素——基于引力模型实证分析

Restrictive Factors of Chinese Vegetable Export to Developed Countries—Empirical Analysis Based on Gravity Model
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摘要 根据2013—2019年中国蔬菜贸易数据,分析我国蔬菜出口日本、韩国、美国和欧盟等发达国家的贸易额及进口国的SPS通报数量的变化,采用引力模型研究我国国民生产总值、进口国的国民生产总值、贸易地地理距离和SPS措施对我国蔬菜出口的影响。结果表明,我国的蔬菜出口贸易额与进口国的国民生产总值呈正相关,我国与出口贸易地的地理距离和我国的国民生产总值与蔬菜出口额呈负相关,与发达国家的SPS通报数量无显著相关性,其中地理距离对我国的蔬菜出口贸易影响最大。为促进我国蔬菜出口发达国家的贸易发展,应改善蔬菜的储运条件,及时了解进口国的SPS措施和相关规章制度变化,提前做好预案以便减少出口损失,不断开拓市场,加强我国蔬菜产业内国际双循环,促进蔬菜产业协调发展。 According to China’s vegetable trade data from 2013 to 2019,analyze the trade volume and SPS notification of China’s vegetable exports to countries around the world.The gravity model is used to study the impact of China’s GNP,the GNP of importing countries,the geographical distance of trading places and SPS measures on Chinese vegetable exports.The research results show that:our vegetable export trade volume is positively correlated with the GNP of the importing countries;the geographical distance between our country and the export trade place and our GNP are negatively correlated with the vegetable export volume,among which the geographical distance has the greatest influence on our vegetable export trade.In order to promote the trade development of our vegetable export countries,we should improve the storage and transportation conditions of vegetables,keep abreast of the SPS measures of the importing countries and relevant rules and regulations changes,make advance plans in order to reduce export losses,continuously develop the market,strengthen the international double cycle within our vegetable industry,and promote the coordinated development of vegetable industry.
作者 吴媛 潘丽蓉 王东 叶明辉 修凡超 孙新涛 周先治 WU Yuan;PAN Li-rong;WANG Dong(Technology Center,Xiamen Customs,Xiamen,Fujian 361026)
出处 《安徽农业科学》 CAS 2024年第3期230-233,共4页 Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences
基金 国家重点研发计划“食品安全关键技术研发”重点专项(2017YFC1601-606) 福建省人民政府中国农业科学院农业高质量发展超越“5511”协同创新工程(XTCXGC2021019)。
关键词 国民生产总值 蔬菜出口 引力模型 GNP Vegetable exports Gravitational model
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