摘要
本文采用结构相似度方法分析了中国、日本、韩国的食物消费结构升级过程,以及国家之间食物消费结构趋同的情况,重点说明了中国食物消费结构升级过程的特殊性。结果显示,中国、日本、韩国食物消费结构升级过程存在明显差异。2010年以前,中国食物消费结构已经先于消费总量达到稳定状态。国家之间的食物消费结构并不会持续趋同,而是在趋同到一定程度以后开始异化。目前,中日、中韩之间的食物消费结构相似度分别为77.14%和73.62%,未来将逐渐步入下行通道。近10年来,中国食物消费结构升级已经逐渐脱离了日本和韩国的消费模式,形成了中国特色的食物消费模式,其典型特征表现为:谷物、肉类和蔬菜的供能比更高,植物油、糖类的供能比更低。日本和韩国食物消费结构升级的经验对中国的借鉴意义将逐渐减弱,对中国未来食物消费需求的预测要更加重视中国模式的特殊性。
By calculating consumption similarity index(CSI),this paper compares the upgrading process of food consumption structure in China,Japan,and Korea,and analyzes the convergence of food consumption structures among the three countries,and further demonstrates the particularity of China's food consumption structure.Significant differences in the upgrading process of food consumption structures are detected among China,Japan,and Korea.China's food consumption structure has gradually reached a stable state since 2011,which is earlier than the total quantity of food consumption.Food consumption structures across countries do not keep converging but turn to diverge after reaching a peak value.At present,the calculating consumption similarity indexes of food consumption structures are respectively 77.14% between China and Japan,and 73.62% between China and Korea,and both will decrease in the future.In the past 10 years,China's food consumption structure has gradually diverged from the patterns of Japan and Korea,forming a pattern with Chinese characteristics,in which the energy supplies of grain,meat and vegetables are much higher,while the energy supplies of vegetable oil and sugar are lower.The upgrading of China's food consumption structure has gradually deviated from the consumption patterns of Japan and South Korea,forming a food consumption pattern with Chinese characteristics,and more attention should be paid to the specificity of China's own food consumption structure when predicting food demand in the future.
作者
全世文
张慧云
QUAN Shiwen;ZHANG Huiyun
出处
《中国农业大学学报（社会科学版）》
北大核心
2023年第4期172-191,共20页
Journal of China Agricultural University;Social Sciences
基金
国家社会科学基金项目“我国城乡居民的食品可持续消费行为研究”(18CJY014)
中国社会科学院创新工程项目“大食物观下的食物供给能力研究”(2023NFSB09)
中国社会科学院大学研创计划“中国城乡居民食物消费结构的收敛性研究”(2023-KY-76)。
关键词
食物消费
结构升级
结构相似度
趋同
Food consumption
Structure upgrading
Structure similarity
Convergence
