摘要
常规海面风预报内容是“文字加字符”形式,实况数据是间隔均匀的数据序列,所以常规海面风预报无法像数值预报一样直接应用实况数据进行预报质量的检验评估。本文在详细调研全国海洋预报机构发布的海面风预报产品基础上,针对不同的常规预报内容,制定了一套客观、合理、标准化的处理方法,成功实现了对常规海面风预报的检验,并应用东海区实况数据对常规海面风预报进行了检验测试,通过对存在的问题进行研讨与论证,完善了检验评估规则,提升了其实用性、合理性和适用性。
Words and symbols are the common forms of the conventional sea surface wind forecast.As the observed data are the spaced data series,sea surface wind forecast cannot be directly inspected while comparing to the numerical forecast in the forecast quality inspection.Based on thorough investigation of the sea surface wind forecast products released by marine forecast agencies in the whole country,an objective,reasonable and standardized quality inspection method for the sea surface wind forecast was established in different forecast contents.The inspection of the conventional sea surface wind forecast had been successfully realized,and the inspection methods had been tested by using the observed data of the East China Sea.After emerging problems were discussed and fixed,the method was improved,with enhanced practicability,rationality,and applicability.
作者
姚圣康
潘灵芝
郑晓琴
梁颖瑜
于芸
郜海
马卫军
YAO Sengkang;PAN Lingzhi;ZHENG Xiaoqin;LIANG Yingyu;YU Yun;GAO Hai;MA Weijun(East China Sea Forecasting and Disaster Reduction Center,Ministry of Natural Resources,Shanghai 200136,China)
出处
《海洋通报》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2023年第5期508-516,共9页
Marine Science Bulletin
基金
全国海洋标准化技术委员会推荐性制修订计划(20140698-T-418)。
关键词
海洋环境预报
海面风
检验评估
marine environment forecasting
the sea surface wind
verification and evaluation
