摘要
在新时代背景下,中欧班列开通对商贸流通产业集聚产生重要影响。基于2003—2019年中国284个地级及以上城市面板数据,研究使用跨期DID模型来检验中欧班列开通对商贸流通产业集聚的影响及机制。研究表明:满足平行趋势条件下,中欧班列开通能够显著促进商贸流通产业集聚,这在安慰剂检验、PSM-DID估计和排除选择偏误问题等稳健性检验后仍成立;中欧班列开通对东部、更大人口规模、商业魅力型、非资源型和交通便利型的城市商贸流通集聚效应明显更强,对批发与零售业集聚的影响最大;中欧班列开通对商贸流通集聚具有显著的空间轴辐效应,辐射范围在150公里以内。机制分析表明,中欧班列开通通过激发国内市场潜能、提高市场可达性水平和强化国际市场引力来促进城市商贸流通产业集聚。
Under the background of the new era,the opening of China-European Express(CRE)has an important impact on the commercial circulation agglomeration.Based on the panel data of 284 prefecture-level and above cities in China from 2003 to 2019,this paper empirically investigates the impact and mechanism of the opening of CRE on commercial circulation agglomeration by applying the inter-period DID model.The study shows that,under the conditional of satisfying the parallel trend,the opening of CRE can significantly promote urban commercial circulation agglomeration,which still holds after a series of robustness tests such as placebo test,PSM-DID estimation,and selectivity bias exclusion.The opening of CRE has significantly stronger effect on the commercial circulation agglomeration in cities in the east,with larger population,commercial attraction,non-resource and convenient transportation,and has the greatest impact on the agglomeration of wholesale and retail industries.The commercial circulation agglomeration effect of the opening of CRE has a significant positive spatial hub-and-spoke effect within 150km.The results of the mechanism analysis indicate that the opening of CRE promotes commercial circulation agglomeration by stimulating domestic market potential,improving market accessibility,and enhancing international market gravity.
作者
邱志萍
蒋鹏程
刘迪
QIU Zhiping;JIANG Pengcheng;LIU Di(School of Economics and Management,Dongguan University of Technology,Dongguan 523106,China;School of Urban and Regional Sciences,Shanghai University of Finance and Economics,Shanghai 200433,China)
出处
《商业经济与管理》
北大核心
2023年第7期40-53,共14页
Journal of Business Economics
基金
国家社会科学基金青年项目“高质量发展目标约束下资源型城市制造业绿色转型”(19CJL039)
教育部人文社会科学基金青年项目“中国资源空间错配的动态演化、典型制度与政策优化研究”(21YJC790145)
广东省哲学社会科学规划项目“‘一带一路’背景下海运互联互通赋能数字商品贸易增长研究”(GD23YYJ03)。
关键词
中欧班列开通
商贸流通产业集聚
跨期DID模型
准自然实验
the opening of China-Europe Railway Express
commercial circulation agglomeration
inter-period difference-in-differences model
quasi natural experimental
