摘要
为客观评估城市应急准备能力,解决以往存在的数据采集规范性不足、评估方法主观性强等问题,开展评估指标体系构建及应用研究。首先,基于突发事件应对法的规定、安全发展城市建设要求和省市“十四五”应急体系建设规划内容,吸收联合国减灾署城市抗灾能力记分卡经验做法,建立评估指标池;然后,根据36个地区应急准备能力现状调研成果的统计分析,构建应对自然灾害和事故灾难的2层级、6项一级指标、38项二级指标的评估体系和分级基准;最后,以A市为例,验证评估模型的科学性和有效性。研究结果表明:构建的“6-38”评估体系对江苏省城市应急准备能力定量表征率超过80%;对A市的评估结果与A市实际情况较为符合,能客观反映出应急准备能力的整体水平,说明模型具有一定的可行性和有效性。
In order to objectively assess urban emergency preparedness,and address the issues of poor data collection standardization and strong subjectivity in the evaluation of urban emergency preparedness capacity in the past,research on the construction and application of assessment index system was conducted.Firstly,the establishment of the evaluation index pool was based on the provisions of the Emergency Response Law,the requirements for the safe development of urban construction,and the content of the provincial and municipal"14 th Five Year Plan"emergency system construction plan.It also drew on the experience of the disaster resilience score card for cities issued by the United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction.Then,based on the statistical analysis of the current research results of emergency preparedness capacity in 36 regions,a 2-level evaluation system and grading criteria for responding to natural disasters and accident disasters,including 6 first-level indicators and 38 second-level indicators,were constructed.The evaluation model had been applied in a county-level City A in Jiangsu Province.The results show that the constructed"6-38"system has good adaptability to the characterization of urban emergency preparedness capacity,and the evaluation model can effectively identify the shortcomings of urban emergency capacity.It is shown that the quantitative characterization rate of the constructed"6-38"evaluation system indicators exceeds 80%.The evaluation results of City A are relatively consistent with its actual situation,which objectively reflects the overall level of emergency preparedness.Therefore,it indicates that the model is feasible and effective.
作者
蒋俊
陈妍
贺钢锋
高岳毅
冯婧钰
何海波
JIANG Jun;CHEN Yan;HE Gangfeng;GAO Yueyi;FENG Jingyu;HE Haibo(Institute of Public Security,Jiangsu Academy of Safety Science and Technology,Nanjing Jiangsu 210042,China;Fire Prevention Supervision Division,Jiangsu Provincial Fire Rescue Force,Nanjing Jiangsu 210036,China;Comprehensive Coordination Division,Jiangsu Provincial Emergency Management Department,Nanjing Jiangsu 210019,China)
出处
《中国安全科学学报》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2023年第6期190-197,共8页
China Safety Science Journal
基金
江苏省产业前瞻与关键核心技术项目(BE2022155)
江苏省创新能力建设计划(BM2018025-7)。
关键词
应急准备能力
评估指标体系
突发事件
分级基准
监测预警
emergency preparedness capability
assessment index system
emergency
grading criteria
monitoring and warning
