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基于灰色故障树的装配式建筑设计风险分析

Analysis on Prefabricated Building Design Risks Based on Grey Fault Tree
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摘要 装配式建筑设计存在一定的设计风险,此风险影响较大,为避免这种设计风险的存在,保证工程的顺利实施,文章针对其设计风险展开了深入的分析。首先建立灰色故障树模型,利用灰色故障树模型评估装配式建筑的设计风险,并得出设计风险的相关事件,然后经关联度明确事件的重要性,最后针对相应的基本事件制定科学的风险规避措施。研究结果表明,该措施可以有效确保装配式建筑的顺利实施,促进传统建筑行业的转型和升级。 There is a certain design risk in the design of prefabricated buildings,which has a great influence.In order to avoid the existence of such design risk and ensure the smooth implementation of the project,an in-depth analysis of the design risk is carried out.Firstly,the grey fault tree model is established,and the grey fault tree model is used to evaluate the design risk of the prefabricated building,and the related events of the design risk are obtained.Then,the importance of the events is clarified by the correlation degree.Finally,scientific risk avoidance measures are formulated for the corresponding elementary events.The research results show that this measure can effectively ensure the smooth implementation of prefabricated buildings and promote the transformation and upgrading of the traditional construction industry.
作者 彭万雄 PENG Wanxiong(CITIC General Institute of Architectural Design and Research Co.,Ltd.,Wuhan 430000,Hubei,China)
出处 《工程技术研究》 2023年第10期168-170,共3页 Engineering and Technological Research
关键词 灰色故障树 装配式建筑 设计风险 关联度 基本事件 贡献度 grey fault tree prefabricated building design risks correlation degree elementary event contribution degree
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