摘要
在经济发展过程中,农业是关系国计民生的基础性产业。农业与物流业是一种相辅相成的关系,物流业的发展可以加快农产品的流通,提高农产品价值,成为农业不可或缺的组成部分,物流是农业经济发展的前提条件。农业的发展为物流业提供了物质保障,同时又有力地推进物流业的可持续发展。农业与物流业的协同发展则有助于增强农业对物流业的拉动作用及物流业对农业的促进作用。以耦合协调度模型及灰色关联分析模型为工具,对广东省农业与物流业2010—2019年数据进行实证分析,计算两业的耦合协调度和关联度。结果显示:2010—2019年两业之间的耦合协调度呈现逐渐上升的趋势;农业就业人员平均报酬、农业从业人员数量、农业生产产量与物流业关联度较高,物流业就业人员平均报酬、物流货运量、物流业增加值与农业关联度较高。基于此,提出了进一步促进两业协同发展的建议。
In the process of economic development,agriculture is the basic industry related to the national economy and people's livelihood.Agriculture and logistics industry complement each other.The development of logistics industry can accelerate the circulation of agricultural products,improve the value of agricultural products,and become an indispensable part of agriculture.Logistics is the precondition of agricultural economic development.The development of agriculture has provided material guarantee for logistics industry and promoted the sustainable development of logistics industry.The synergistic development of agriculture and logistics industry is helpful to strengthen the driving effect of agriculture on logistics industry and the promoting effect of logistics industry on agriculture.The coupling coordination degree model and grey correlation analysis model were used as tools to empirically analyze the data of agriculture and logistics industry in Guangdong province from 2010 to 2019,and the coupling coordination degree and correlation degree of the two industries were calculated.The results showed that:the degree of coupling coordination between the two industries has gradually increased from 2010 to 2019;the correlation degree of agricultural employment average reward,agricultural workforce,agricultural production and logistics industry is higher,the correlation degree of logistics industry employment average reward,logistics freight volume,the added value of the logistics industry and agriculture is higher.Based on this,suggestions on further promoting the coordinated development of agriculture and logistics industry were put forward.
作者
韩盼盼
Han Panpan(Guangdong Polytechnic College,Zhaoqing 526000,Guangdong)
出处
《农业展望》
2023年第1期84-90,共7页
Agricultural Outlook
基金
2019年广东省普通高校青年创新人才项目(2019WQNCX140)
2020年广东省普通高校青年创新人才项目(2020WQNCX087)
肇庆市2021年度哲学社会科学规划项目(21GJ-66)
2022年广东理工学院校级科技项目(2022GKJSK005)。
关键词
农业
物流业
灰色关联模型
协同发展
agriculture
logistics industry
grey relational model
collaborative development
