摘要
文章基于先进制造业与现代服务业融合视角,采用空间杜宾模型实证探讨了2005—2020年中国30个省份“两业”融合发展对区域经济韧性的影响及内在机制。结果显示,“两业”融合发展对本地经济韧性具有正向影响,对邻地经济韧性也产生了正向空间溢出效应。并且,本地效应和空间溢出效应均存在时空异质性,时间维度上,在金融危机发生前“两业”融合发展仅对本地经济韧性产生了正向影响,在恢复期对本地和邻地均产生正向影响;空间维度上,“两业”融合发展显著提升了东部、中部地区本地和邻地经济韧性,在西部地区对本地经济韧性具有正向影响、对邻地经济韧性具有负向影响,而对东北地区的本地经济韧性为负向影响。进一步研究发现,“两业”融合发展通过人口流动和区域创新显著促进了本地及邻地经济韧性的提升。
Based on the perspective of the integration of advanced manufacturing and modern service,this paper uses the spatial Durbin model to discuss the influence and intrinsic mechanism of the development of“two industries”integration on regional economic resilience in 30 provinces in China from 2005 to 2020.The results show that the development of“two industries”integration has a positive impact on the resilience of local economy,and also has a positive spatial spill⁃over effect on the economic resilience of neighboring regions.Both the local effect and the spatial spillover effect have spa⁃tiotemporal heterogeneity.In the time dimension,before the financial crisis the development of“two industries”integra⁃tion had a positive impact on the resilience of local economy.During the recovery period,it had a positive impact on both local and neighboring regions;in the spatial dimension,the development of“two industries”integration has significantly improved the economic resilience of local and neighboring regions in the eastern and central regions.In the western re⁃gions,it has a positive impact on the local economic resilience and has a negative impact on the neighboring economic re⁃silience,while has a negative impact on the economic resilience of local economy in the northeast regions.Further re⁃search finds that the development of“two industries”integration has significantly improved the economic resilience of lo⁃cal and neighboring regions through population mobility and regional innovation.
作者
张明斗
代洋洋
ZHANG Mingdou;DAI Yangyang(School of Economics,Dongbei University of Finance and Economics,Dalian 116025,China)
出处
《华东经济管理》
北大核心
2023年第4期88-100,共13页
East China Economic Management
基金
国家自然科学基金项目“长江经济带城市收缩的空间异质性、影响因素与城市体系协同发展”(71804021)
辽宁省教育厅面上项目“风险干扰下辽宁省城市经济韧性的驱动因素与提升机制重构研究”(LJKMR20221600)。
关键词
“两业”融合发展
区域经济韧性
先进制造业
现代服务业
development of“two industries”integration
regional economic resilience
advanced manufacturing indus⁃try
modern service
