摘要
为研究多能互补微网系统经济性,建立多能互补微网系统运营仿真模型。模型基于AnyLogic平台,综合利用流程仿真和多智能体仿真技术,动态模拟微网运行过程并对运营中可能出现的设备故障、维护、更新、技术进步等情景进行细致刻画。通过输入风速、光照、用户负荷等数据,模型可动态显示微网20年运行情况。运行结果包括系统年度数据和经济性评价数据,如项目净现值、社会效益、各项设备利用率、能源短缺率、微网系统弃电率等。在北方某地的算例中,仿真结果显示项目可以获得良好的经济性;存在技术进步的情况下,系统效率进一步提升,可获得更高净现值。
An simulation model is established to study the economy of multi-energy complementary micro-grid system.Based on the AnyLogic platform,the model comprehensively uses process simulation and multi-agent based simulation technology to simulate the operation of the micro-grid system in 20 years.Equipment failure,maintenance,update,and technological progress can also be simulated in the model.By inputting the data such as wind speed,illumination and user load,the model can run and display the operation status of the micro-grid system.The outputs involve annual data and economic evaluation,such as net present value,social benefits,equipment utilization,energy shortage rate,curtailment rate and so on.In the example of a certain place in the north,the simulation results show that the project can obtain good economic performance.With the development of technology,the system efficiency will be improved further,and a higher net present value can be obtained.
作者
邵志芳
吴继兰
宋亦心心
SHAO Zhi-fang;WU Ji-lan;SONG Yi-xinxin(School of Information Management&Engineering,Shanghai University of Finance and Economics,Shanghai,200433)
出处
《计算机仿真》
北大核心
2023年第2期102-107,共6页
Computer Simulation
基金
国家重点研发计划项目(2018YFB1503103_01)。
关键词
多能互补微网
多智能体仿真
运营分析
经济性评价
Multi-energy complementary micro-grid
Multi-agent based simulation
Operational analysis
Economic evaluation
