摘要
基于2000—2019的国际面板数据,采用回归控制法系统评估了全面深化改革对中国经济发展的影响效应。结果发现:实施全面深化改革促使中国2013年以来的年均经济增长率提升了5.264%,且存在3年的滞后期,表现出明显的阶段滞后性与动态持续性。机制检验进一步表明:自主创新能力提升以及产业结构优化升级是全面深化改革促进中国经济稳定增长的重要渠道,而固定资产投资以及政府规模的作用路径尚不明确。
Based on international panel data from 2000 to 2019,this paper examines the performance effect of the comprehensively deepening reforms policy on China′s economic growth by Regression Control method.Results show that the comprehensively deepening reform policy has accelerated China′s economic growth rate by 5.264 percentage points every year on average since 2013,and there is a three year lag period,showing a significant phase lag and dynamic persistence.Further mechanistic tests suggest that the improvement of independent innovation capability and optimal upgrading of industry structure are important channels for the comprehensively deepening reform to promote stable economic growth in China,while the paths of fixed asset investment and government size are unclear.
作者
洪扬
HONG Yang(School of Political Science and Public Administration,Shandong University,Qingdao 266200)
出处
《软科学》
北大核心
2023年第2期51-58,共8页
Soft Science
基金
山东大学人文社会科学重大项目(17RWZD22)。
关键词
全面深化改革
经济新常态
回归控制法
comprehensively deepening reform
new normal
regression control method
