摘要
水利工程项目难度大、周期长、参建方多,与经济、社会、生态环境关系密切。如何进行水利工程风险的有效管理是亟待解决的问题。该文构建了基于信息技术的水利工程风险管理模型,并基于宁夏水利工程风险管理调研进行了实证。该模型在理论方面可帮助理解激励机制、参建各方协作、风险管理流程和信息化水利工程风险管理平台之间的关系,在实践方面可指导参建各方全面、协同、高效地管理水利工程风险。加强水利工程风险管理应建立完善的风险管理体系、协同的风险管理机制、完善的风险管理绩效考核与激励机制以及水利工程信息化风险管理平台,管理平台包括水利工程风险数据库、多方协同工作平台和信息化决策支持系统。
[Objective] Water conservancy projects are complex and closely interact with the economy, society, and environment, involving multiple participants. Thus, there is a need to systematically manage risks to water conservancy projects with the support of information technology to effectively control risks and reduce losses. [Method] This study presents a risk management model for water conservancy projects, which can help understand the relationships between incentives, collaboration among participants, risk management processes, and information management platforms for water conservancy projects. Practically, the model can assist participants in efficiently managing project risks holistically. The model is validated by a survey of water conservancy projects in Ningxia, China. Quantitative and qualitative data were collected through a survey method mainly based on a questionnaire survey, supplemented by interviews and field investigation. The indicators were constructed based on literature research, and the 5-point Likert scoring method was used to quantify these indicators. The questionnaire consists of four parts:(1) In the section on risk factors of water conservancy projects, the influence and possibility of risks of water conservancy projects were evaluated.(2) In the section on the risk management system of the participating parties, the current situation of the risk management of each participant was analyzed to comprehensively evaluate the risk management level of each participant in water conservancy projects.(3) In the section on risk management methods, the use of risk management methods by the participants in each stage of risk management was evaluated.(4) In the section on risk management constraints, the main obstacles encountered by each participant in the risk management processes were summarized. Based on the mean value analysis of the questionnaire data and the interviews with each participant involved in the construction of water conservancy projects, we systematically analyzed the current situati
作者
娄长圣
唐文哲
王腾飞
LOU Changsheng;TANG Wenzhe;WANG Tengfei(State Key Laboratory of Hydroscience and Engineering,Department of Hydraulic Engineering,Tsinghua University,Beijing 100084,China;Student Office,Tsinghua University,Beijing 100084,China)
出处
《清华大学学报（自然科学版）》
EI
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2023年第2期233-241,共9页
Journal of Tsinghua University(Science and Technology)
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(72171128,51579135)
清华大学水沙科学与水利水电工程国家重点实验室项目(2022-KY-04)。
关键词
水利工程
风险管理
信息技术
建设管理
water conservancy project
risk management
information technology
construction management
