摘要
掌握和控制比赛节奏,迫使对手按照己方意图进行比赛,是赛场上掌握主动权、确保竞赛获胜的前提和基础。本文运用K均值聚类分析、逐步判别分析、独立样本T检验和线性回归分析,分析辽宁队在不同比赛节奏下的技术统计指标差异及不同节奏下与对手之间的表现差异,探索辽宁队夺取常规赛冠军的制胜模式。研究结果表明:(1)辽宁队常规赛38场比赛可分为快节奏比赛22场,慢节奏比赛16场。前场篮板、两分投篮、后场篮板、抢断等四项技术统计指标在判别比赛节奏时具有显著性作用。(2)快节奏比赛中,辽宁队在两分命中、罚球、抢断和失误等4个方面均优于对手且具有显著性差异;慢节奏比赛中,辽宁队前场篮板优势明显。但无论是快节奏还是慢节奏比赛,辽宁队将球权直接转化为得分的能力相对不足。(3)辽宁队基于比赛节奏的制胜模式,得益于进攻时具有较高的有效投篮命中率、进攻篮板率、罚球率、较好地控制失误,以及防守端限制对手获得出手机会、制造对手失误等因素。通过主动防守带动进攻,主动调整进攻和防守节奏进而将攻防两端的主动权都把握在自己手中,这种进攻方式正是辽宁队基于比赛节奏的制胜模式在赛场上的具体表现,同时也是辽宁队在攻防两端绝大部分“四要素”数据排名各球队前列的原因。
Mastering and controlling the pace of the competition and forcing the opponent to play according to their own intention are the premise and basic to grasp the initiative on the court and ensure the victory of the competition. This paper uses K-means clustering algorithm, Stepwise discriminant, independent-samples T Test and regression analysis, to analyze the technical statistical differences of Liaoning team in different rhythms and the performance differences with the opponent under different rhythms, and to explore the winning mode of Liaoning team to win the regular season. The research results show that:(a) Liaoning team’s regular season 38 games can be divided into fast-paced 22 games, and slow-paced 16 games. The technical statistics including offensive rebound, two-point shot, defensive rebound and steal have a significant role in determining the rhythm of the game.(b) In the fast-paced games, Liaoning team in two points hit, free throw, steals and turnovers are better than the opponents and have significant differences;In the slow-paced games, Liaoning team has obvious advantage in offensive rebound. But whether it is fast-paced or slow-paced game, the ability of Liaoning team directly into the ball into scoring is relatively insufficient.(c) The winning mode of Liaoning team based on the rhythm of the game benefit from its high effective shooting percentage, offensive rebound rate, free throw rate and better control of turnovers when attacking, and limits the opponents from getting shots, making turnovers when defending. Through the active defense to drive the attack, the initiative to adjust the attack and defense rhythm and then grasp the initiative on both ends of the attack and defense is Liaoning team based on the game rhythm of the winning mode in the field of the specific performance. As the same time, it is the reason why Liaoning team in both ends of the attack and defense most of the "four elements" data ranked in the forefront of the teams.
作者
马一鸣
宋君毅
罗家威
李志豪
Ma Yiming;Song Junyi;Luo Jiawei;Li Zhihao(Guangzhou Sport University,Guangzhou 510500,China)
出处
《体育科技文献通报》
2022年第12期110-114,共5页
Bulletin of Sport Science & Technology
关键词
常规赛
比赛节奏
控球权
制胜模式
regular season
competition rhythm
possession of the ball
winning mode
