摘要
美国男篮在近3届世界大赛中取得了全胜战绩,大家一致认为美国队取得如此优异战绩是因为他们打出了较快的比赛节奏。本研究根据获得球权次数多少,利用聚类分析把美国队的比赛分为快慢两种类型,对比赛中的技术统计进行判别分析,找出影响节奏快慢的主要技术统计因素,研究美国在快慢两种节奏下本队之间及其与对手之间技术统计的区别,最后通过回归分析得出美国比赛制胜的模型。结果显示两分中、罚球投和抢断的次数在判别比赛节奏上具有重要作用,美国队在较快的节奏中进攻篮板球率和主动获得球率较高,从而转化为有效的投篮,对比赛结果起着至关重要的作用。
It was agreed that the fast pace was the main reason that USA team cannot be defeated in recent three world-level basketball matches.The research used K-means cluster analysis to classify game pace using ball possessions per game,as well as examine the game-related statistics that discriminate between fast and slow pace games.And it tested the differences in game statistics between USA and its opponents in different pace.Finally,it concluded the winning model for USA team using linear regression analysis.The results shown that the important discriminative factor of pace is 2-point field goals,free-throw,and steal.It concluded that when USA plays fastpace game,they are able to get more offensive rebounds and recover more balls that turn into effective field-goal shooting.These two factors made an important role in final outcome of match.
出处
《北京体育大学学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第6期141-144,F0003,共5页
Journal of Beijing Sport University
关键词
篮球节奏
技术统计
比赛分析
basketball pace
technique statistics
match analysis
