摘要
区域旅游经济时空发展差异是学术界的研究热点之一,尤其是对我国跨境、跨体制下区域旅游经济时空差异的演变,以及成因追溯机制的探讨。本文以粤港澳大湾区为研究对象,对大湾区主要城市的旅游经济发展水平变动进行分析,归纳梳理大湾区旅游经济演化特征,同时基于重标极差分析法,对大湾区旅游经济未来演变趋势进行预测。结果表明:2000—2019年大湾区旅游经济呈现持续增长趋势,区域内部绝对差异仍在扩大,但相对差异在逐步缩小,未来大湾区内部不一定遵循过去十年的发展特征,区域内的旅游经济格局随时可能变化,各城市的旅游人数与旅游收入将发生较大的排位调整。
The spatial and temporal development difference of regional tourism economy is one of the research hotspots in the academic circle,especially the evolution of the spatial and temporal difference of regional tourism economy and the exploration of the cause tracing mechanism under the cross-border and crosssystem in China.Taking the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area as the research object,this paper analyzes the changes in the development level of the tourism economy of the major cities in the Greater Bay Area,summarizes and combs the evolution characteristics of the tourism economy in the Greater Bay Area,and predicts the future evolution trend of the tourism economy in the Greater Bay Area based on the re-standard range analysis.Results show that the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area tourism economy has continued to grow from 2000 to 2019,the absolute difference in the region is still expanding,but the relative differences in gradually narrowed,future within the Greater Bay Area does not necessarily follow the development characteristics of the past decade,the pattern of regional tourism economy may change at any time,the number of tourists and tourism income in each city will undergo a larger ranking adjustment.
作者
侯瑞萍
叶新才
HOU Rui-ping;YE Xin-cai(College of Economics&Management,Guangzhou Vocational and Technical University of Science and Technology,510000,Guangzhou,Guangdong,China;College of Tourism,Huaqiao University,362000,Quanzhou,Fujian,China)
出处
《特区经济》
2022年第11期23-27,共5页
Special Zone Economy
基金
广东省普通高校青年创新人才类项目(项目编号:2021WQNCX119)。
关键词
旅游经济
时空差异
演变特征
R/S分析
粤港澳大湾区
Tourism Economy
Space-Time Difference
Evolution Characteristics
R/S Analysis
Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area
