摘要
新冠肺炎疫情下,大国对非洲关系进入新的调整磨合期,其总体表现为:大国在非洲同频共振趋势加速,西方大国“俱乐部式”对非协调合作增加,中非合作的带动作用和刺激效果扩大,大国在非洲“二元竞争”格局逐渐确立,大国塑造非洲发展转型议程的意图趋于明显。大国对非洲战略和政策处于重塑和转型之中:美国新非洲战略在回归中有创新,以欧非联盟为目标的欧盟新非洲战略缓慢推进,法国非洲政策转型遭遇挫折,英国新非洲战略范式趋向务实,新兴国家立足自身特点扩大在非影响力。大国在非洲主要领域和议题上的互动增多、交集扩大,集中表现为:在支持非洲抗疫方面竞争与合作并存,商业领域的制度性竞争上升,基础设施建设模式、规则和标准之争加速,政治安全理念持续分化、协调依然缺失,气候变化合作难掩绿色转型议程中的竞争。今后大国在非洲的竞合关系将进一步发展,然而对中西方在非洲关系的性质界定,西方对非战略、政策和倡议能否落地,非洲国家是否能够塑造和利用大国对非关系等核心议题,仍存在着不同理解和判断,需要深入观察和研究。
Under the COVID-19 pandemic,major countries have entered a new period of adjustment in their relationship with Africa.In general,major countries are increasingly creating synergy in their engagement with Africa;western major countries are advancing their“club style”cooperation with Africa;the leading and stimulating effects of China-Africa cooperation are enlarging;the pattern of“dual competition”between major powers in Africa is taking place;major countries are showing obvious intentions of shaping African development agenda.In this process,major countries are reshaping and transforming their strategies and policies towards Africa:The new U.S.Africa strategy puts forward new approaches while emphasizing old priorities;the new Africa strategy of the European Union with the aim of the“European-African alliance”is advancing slowly;the transformation of French policies towards Africa suffers setbacks;the new British Africa strategy tends to be more pragmatic,and emerging countries expand their influence in Africa based on their own characteristics.The interaction and convergence of major countries’engagement in major areas and issues of Africa is expanding,which is mainly reflected in the co-existence of competition and cooperation in the support of Africa’s fight against the pandemic,the rise of institutional competition in the commercial area,the rise of the competition for models,rules,and standards in infrastructure construction,the widening divergence of political security concepts,the absence of coordination,and the competition in the green transformation agenda despite climate change cooperation.In the future,the competitive-cooperative relationship among major countries in Africa will further develop.However,there are still different understandings and judgments about the nature of China-West relations in Africa,whether western strategies,policies and initiatives towards Africa can be implemented,and whether African countries can shape and make use of their relationships with major countries.
作者
周玉渊
Zhou Yuyuan(Center for West Asian and African Studies,Shanghai Institute for International Studies,Shanghai Institute for International Studies,Shanghai 200233)
出处
《中国非洲学刊》
2022年第1期3-18,143,共17页
JOURNAL OF CHINA-AFRICA STUDIES
关键词
新冠肺炎疫情
大国对非洲关系
中非合作
大国竞争
the COVID-19 pandemic
the relationship between major countries and Africa
China-Africa cooperation
competition among major countries
