摘要
通过收敛模型和脱钩指数对中国社会支出的时空分布进行深入分析,研究发现:在福利扩张过程中,中国社会支出存在绝对(条件)收敛趋势,但各地和各类型社会支出存在差异。其中西部地区收敛速度最快,中部次之,东部最慢。家计调查支出的收敛速度快于社会保险支出和普惠型支出,社会保护项目支出的收敛速度快于教育经费支出收敛速度。此外,社会支出与经济增长的动态关系集中在扩张连接、扩张相对负脱钩和扩张相对脱钩三种,社会保险支出与经济增长的发展趋势保持相对稳定,而家计调查和普惠支出与经济增长的脱钩程度则较为明显,受“逐顶竞争”影响,教育经费支出与经济增长的脱钩比例明显高于社会保护项目支出与经济增长的脱钩比例。未来我国应合理规划民生保障资源的空间布局,积极根据人口因素进行福利资源配置,努力实现全面小康的共同愿景。
This paper deeply analyzes the temporal and spatial distribution of social expenditure in China through convergence model and decoupling index.It is found that in the process of welfare expansion,China's social expenditure has an absolute(conditional)convergence trend,but there are differences in various regions and types of social expenditure.Among them,the convergence speed in the western region is the fastest,followed by the middle,and the eastern region is the slowest;The convergence rate of household survey expenditure is faster than that of social insurance expenditure and inclusive expenditure,and the convergence rate of social protection project expenditure is faster than that of education expenditure.In addition,the dynamic relationship between social expenditure and economic growth focuses on expansion connection,relatively negative decoupling of expansion and relatively decoupling of expansion.The development trend of social insurance expenditure and economic growth remains relatively stable,while the decoupling degree of household survey and inclusive expenditure from economic growth is more obvious,which is affected by"top-by-top competition",The decoupling ratio between education expenditure and economic growth is significantly higher than that between social protection expenditure and economic growth.In the future,China should reasonably plan the spatial layout of people's livelihood security resources,actively allocate welfare resources according to population factors,and strive to realize the common vision of an all-round well-off society.
作者
冯剑锋
岳经纶
FENG Jian-feng;YUE Jin-lun(School of Government,Guangdong University of Finance&Economic,Guangzhou,Guangdong 510320,China;School of Government,Sun Yat-sen University,Guangzhou,Guangdong 510275,China)
出处
《贵州财经大学学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2022年第6期11-19,共9页
Journal of Guizhou University of Finance and Economics
基金
国家自然科学基金青年项目“我国民生保障水平的空间维度分析:基于社会保护分析指标体系的研究”(71804205)
教育部人文社科基金青年项目(18YJC840009)
广东省自然科学基金博士科研启动项目(2018A030310101)。
关键词
福利扩张
社会支出
民生保障
空间收敛
脱钩
welfare expansion
social expenditure
livelihood security
spatial convergence
decoupling
