摘要
2017年以来,中东欧国家对外政策出现了越来越明显的分化现象,对华政策也同样如此。导致中东欧对外政策出现分化的原因很多,从其对华政策的角度来看,分化的原因在于不同的国家、不同的执政党对地缘安全、经济利益、价值观问题有不同的考量。在安全方面,与俄罗斯或乌克兰接壤的“外环国家”具有更强的依赖西方,尤其是北约的需求;在经济利益方面,与中国贸易弱的国家,更容易出现对华激进的倾向;在价值观方面,“西环国家”较“东南环国家”更为积极;从执政党来看,绝大多数中东欧右翼民粹主义执政党对华态度较为激进,但加入欧盟且融入欧洲较好的中东欧国家具有更强的民粹主义政党。俄乌冲突之后,与俄罗斯、乌克兰接近的中东欧“外环国家”对北约的需求将明显强化,从而会在对华关系上进一步加大与中东欧“外环国家”的差异。
In recent years,the foreign policies of Central and Eastern European countries have become increasingly differentiated,including their policies towards China. There are many reasons for this,from the perspective of their policy on China,different countries or different ruling parties have different considerations on geopolitical security,economic interests and values. In terms of security,the“external ring countries”bordering Russia or Ukraine have a stronger need to rely on the West,especially on NATO. In terms of economic interests,countries with weak trade tie with China are more prone to be radical towards China;In terms of values,the“west ring countries”are more proactive than the“southeast ring countries”;from the perspective of ruling parties. In most of the Central and Eastern European countries with right-wing populist ruling parties, attitude towards China have been more radical,while countries which have joined the EU have stronger populist parties. Amid the Russia-Ukraine conflict,the“external ring countries”have a significantly stronger demand for NATO,which will further increase the difference between them and other Central and Eastern Europe countries in their policy on China.
作者
杨友孙
尹春娇
Yang Yousun;Yin Chunjiao(School of Government,Shanghai Universi-ty of Political Science and Law;School of Language and Culture,Shanghai University of Political Science and Law)
出处
《战略决策研究》
2022年第6期28-47,101,102,共22页
Journal of Strategy and Decision-Making
关键词
中东欧
分化
安全
价值观
Central and Eastern Europe
divergence
security
values
