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新型城镇化对劳动力错配的影响:理论分析与经验辨识 被引量:15

The Impact of New Urbanization on Labor Misallocation: Theoretical Analysis and Empirical Identification
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摘要 本文从劳动力错配视角入手,以新型城镇化试点政策为准自然实验,采取多期双重差分法系统考察了新型城镇化对劳动力错配的影响效果及作用机制。研究结果发现,新型城镇化建设对劳动力错配存在显著的缓解作用,且经过平行趋势假设检验、安慰剂检验等稳健性检验,该结论依然成立。异质性分析表明,新型城镇化试点政策对经济发展水平较低、城市人口规模较小等地区劳动力错配的缓解作用更为显著。影响机制检验表明,优化劳动力结构和加快劳动力流动是新型城镇化试点政策发挥缓解效应的主要路径。本文的研究结论为推动新型城镇化建设和优化要素资源配置提供了经验证据和决策参考。 Starting from the perspective of labor misallocation, this paper takes the pilot policy of new urbanization as a quasi-natural experiment, and adopts the multiphase difference-in-difference model to systematically examine the effects and mechanisms of new urbanization on labor misallocation. The results of the study find that there is a significant alleviating effect of new urbanization construction on labor mismatch, and the conclusion still holds after robustness tests such as parallel trend hypothesis test and placebo test. The heterogeneity analysis shows that the new urbanization pilot policy has a more significant effect on alleviating labor mismatch in areas with low economic development and small urban population size. The impact mechanism test indicates that optimizing the labor structure and accelerating labor mobility are the main paths for the new urbanization pilot policy to play a mitigating effect. The findings of this paper provide empirical evidence and decision-making reference for promoting the construction of new urbanization and optimizing the allocation of factor resources.
作者 吴青山 吴玉鸣 郭琳 Wu Qingshan;Wu Yuming;Guo Lin(School of Business,East China University of Science and Technology)
出处 《经济评论》 CSSCI 北大核心 2022年第5期67-82,共16页 Economic Review
基金 国家自然科学基金面上项目“区域经济多极网络空间组织理论与实证研究”(项目编号:72073045)的资助。
关键词 新型城镇化 劳动力错配 劳动力结构 劳动力流动 New Urbanization Labor Misallocation Labor Structure Labor Mobility
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