摘要
在全面推进乡村振兴、实现农业现代化的背景下,研究数字经济与农产品进出口贸易间的异质性动态关系,对扩大农产品边界,改变贸易方式,重整全球农业资源要素具有重要意义。基于2004~2018年不同农产品进出口总额数据,建立向量自回归模型,实证分析数字经济对农产品贸易额的异质性动态影响。研究表明,数字经济与农产品进出口总额之间存在着稳定的动态关系,且不同农产品间表现出不同特性,数字经济对动物产品、谷物、水果进出口总额的解释程度较大。基于此,为促进数字经济与农产品贸易深度融合发展,提出根据不同农产品的特性,不断提高智能化、数字化、网络化水平,加速构建有利于农产品贸易经济发展与农产品有效治理模式的新型数字经济形态的对策建议。
In the context of comprehensively promoting rural revitalization and realizing agricultural modernization,it's important to study the heterogeneous dynamic relationship between the digital economy and agricultural import and export trade to expand the borders of agricultural products,change trade patterns and reorganize global agricultural resource elements.In this paper,a vector autoregressive model was established using the data of total import and export of different agricultural products to demonstrate the existence of longterm dynamic relationship between digital economy and import and export of agricultural products.The findings of the study had shown that there was a stable and dynamic relationship between the digital economy and the total import and export trade of agricultural products.However,different agricultural products exhibited different characteristics,and the digital economy explained the import and export value of animal products,cereals,and fruits to a greater extent.Therefore,the study concluded that in the process of promoting the deep integration and development of digital economy and agricultural trade,the level of intelligence,digitalization and networking should be continuously improved according to the characteristics of different agricultural products,and the construction of a new digital economy form should be accelerated that was conducive to the economic development of agricultural trade and effective governance model of agricultural products.
作者
刘从九
高秀
LIU Congjiu;GAO Xiu(China Cooperative Research Institute,Anhui University of Finance and Economics,Bengbu 233041,Anhui,China)
出处
《农业经济与管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2022年第5期1-11,共11页
Agricultural Economics and Management
基金
国家社会科学基金后期资助项目(17FJY017)。
关键词
数字经济
农产品进出口
分布滞后模型
digital economy
import and export of agricultural products
vector autoregressive model
