摘要
基于2016年中国流动人口动态监测数据,运用多尺度地理加权回归模型对流动人口流入地购房意愿影响因素的空间异质性进行分析。研究发现:①中国流动人口在流入地城市的购房意愿整体偏低,尤其在流动人口聚集的东南沿海地区,流动人口购房意愿最低。②多尺度地理加权回归(multi-scale geographically weighted regression,MGWR)模型能识别出不同因素对购房意愿的影响具有空间尺度差异,其中户口类型、流动范围、流动次数等显著变量对不同区域流动人口购房意愿的影响存在明显的区域差异。 ③各影响因素呈现显著的空间分异格局,其中婚姻状况、户口类型、职业类型、房价、公共服务等因素对东南地区购房意愿的影响较大,收入、流动次数、已购住房、随迁子女等因素对东北地区购房意愿的影响更大,西北地区平均受教育年限和拥有住房公积金对流动人口购房意愿的正向促进作用显著,而跨省流动的负向影响由西北向中部地区梯度递减。
Against the backdrop of new urbanization in China,the home purchase intention of floating population in the destination city is closely related to the process of citizenization.However,existing studies have paid insufficient attention to the spatial heterogeneity of floating population’s home purchase intention and its influencing factors.Based on China Migrants Dynamic Survey in 2016,this study investigates the determinants of floating population’s home purchase intention and their spatial heterogeneity using the multi-scale geographically weighted regression(MGWR).The results show that the overall willingness of China’s urban floating population to purchase a home in the city of their inflow is on the low side,especially in the southeastern coastal region where the floating population congregates,where the floating population has the lowest willingness to purchase a home.The results of the MGWR model indicate that different factors exerting significant impacts on floating population’home purchase intention have spatial scale differences.Among them,significant variables such as hukou status,inter-provincial migration have obvious regional differences in the influence of the floating population’s home purchase intention in different regions.Specifically,marital status,hukou status and occupation at the individual level and housing price,public financial expenditure and medical resources at the city level have greater impacts on the willingness of floating population to purchase a dwelling in southeast China than other regions.The impacts of income,frequency of migration,owning a dwelling and migration with children are more significant in northeast China.The educational attainment and housing provident fund have more significant positive effects on floating population’s home purchase intention in northwest China,while the negative impact of inter-provincial migration decreases from northwest to middle central China.This study provides theoretical basis and policy recommendations for alleviating the ho
作者
王强
崔军茹
崔璨
古恒宇
Wang Qiang;Cui Junru;Cui Can;Gu Hengyu(Institute of Eco-Chongming,Research Center for China Administrative Division,The Center for Modern Chinese City Studies,East China Normal University,Shanghai 200241,China;Department of Geography,Planning and International Development,University of Amsterdam,Amsterdam 1018 WV,North Holland,The Netherlands;Department of Geography and Resource Management,The Chinese University of Hong Kong,Hong Kong 999077,China)
出处
《地理科学》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2022年第8期1381-1390,共10页
Scientia Geographica Sinica
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(42171233,72061137072)
上海市科技计划项目(20692192100)
中央高校基本科研业务费项目华东师范大学引进人才启动费项目(2022ECNU-HLYT008)资助。
关键词
购房意愿
流动人口
空间异质性
多尺度地理加权回归(MGWR)
home purchase intention
floating population
spatial heterogeneity
multi-scale geographically weighted regression(MGWR)
