摘要
旅游城镇化已成为区域经济由高速发展向高质发展转型升级的重要途径,在实现区域绿色发展、协调发展等方面具有重要意义。该文基于2007-2019年面板数据定量评估京津冀城市群旅游城镇化发展进程,通过绘制折线图、雷达图和箱线图表征其时序演进特征,借助标准差椭圆、立体趋势面和核密度估计方法辨析其空间分布格局,并结合灰色关联分析探寻其关键影响因素。结论如下:2007-2019年京津冀城市群旅游城镇化指数整体呈上升趋势,虽偶有起伏但较多城市向中高水平集聚,空间上大体呈不均衡分布态势、差异较显著,最终形成西北强势、南部次之、中部弱势的分布格局;京津冀城市群各市旅游城镇化的关键影响因素存在较大差异。最后基于发展战略协同性、差异性和前瞻性原则,为京津冀城市群旅游城镇化出谋划策。
Tourism urbanization has become an important way for regional economy to transform and upgrade from high-speed development to high-quality development,and it is of great significance in realizing regional green development and coordinated development.Based on the panel data from 2007 to 2019,the development process of tourism urbanization in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Urban Agglomeration is evaluated quantitatively,and its time series evolution characteristics are characterized by drawing line chart,radar map and box diagram,and the spatial pattern is analyzed by means of standard deviation ellipse,three-dimensional trend surface and kernel density estimation,and the key influencing factors are explored based on grey relational analysis.The conclusions are as follows.1)From 2007 to 2019,the tourism urbanization index of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Urban Agglomeration shows an upward trend as a whole,although there are occasional fluctuations,more cities gather to the medium and high level.2)The spatial distribution is generally unbalanced and the difference is more significant,and a pattern of strong in the northwest,followed by the south and weak in the central is formed.3)There are great differences in the key factors influencing the process of tourism urbanization in different cities.Finally,some suggestions for the tourism urbanization of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Urban Agglomeration are put forward based on the principle that the development strategy should be synergetic,differentiated and forward-looking.
作者
翁钢民
唐亦博
宋娜
李建璞
WENG Gang-min;TANG Yi-bo;SONG Na;LI Jian-pu(School of Economics and Management,Yanshan University,Qinhuangdao 066004,China)
出处
《地理与地理信息科学》
CSCD
北大核心
2022年第5期121-128,共8页
Geography and Geo-Information Science
基金
国家社会科学基金后期资助项目(19FGLB001)
河北省自然科学基金项目(G2020203023)
河北省软科学项目(21557625D)
秦皇岛市科技局项目(202004A146)。
关键词
京津冀城市群
旅游城镇化
时空分异
灰色关联分析
Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Urban Agglomeration
tourism urbanization
spatio-temporal differentiation
grey relational analysis
