摘要
以碳交易试点运行构造准自然实验,基于2007—2018年中国30个省(市、自治区)平衡面板数据(因数据缺失不包含港澳台和西藏地区),运用双重差分模型与中介效应模型检验碳交易试点对区域全要素生产率的影响机制和作用机理。研究结果表明:①整体上,碳交易试点政策对区域绿色全要素生产率的提升有显著的促进作用,在经过多项稳健性检验后,上述结果依然成立;②机制分析表明,碳交易试点通过能源结构效应、技术创新效应与产业结构效应最终提升试点区域绿色全要素生产率,其中产业结构效应带来的影响最为显著,技术创新次之,能源结构效应的影响较弱;③异质性分析发现,碳交易试点对区域绿色全要素生产率的提升作用在东部地区显著存在,西部地区不显著,而中部地区一定程度上产生了抑制作用。
Based on the balanced panel data of 30 provinces(Due to the lack of data,the statistical data mentioned here do not include the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region,Macao Special Administrative Region and Taiwan Province.)in China from 2007 to 2018,a quasi-natural experiment was constructed with the pilot operation of carbon trading,and the double-difference model and the mediation effect model were used to test the impact mechanism and mechanism of the pilot carbon trading on regional total factor productivity.The research results show that on the whole,the carbon trading pilot has a significant role in promoting the improvement of regional green total factor productivity,and after a number of robustness tests,the above results are still true.The mechanism analysis shows that through the effect of energy structure,technological innovation and industrial structure,the carbon trading pilots improves green total factor productivity in the pilot area,of which the industrial structure effect has the most significant impact,followed by the technological innovation effect,and the energy structure effect is the weakest.The heterogeneity analysis shows that the effect of carbon trading pilots on regional green total factor productivity is significant in the eastern region,but not in the western region,and it has a certain inhibitory effect on the central region.
作者
徐军委
刘志华
王建雄
Xu Junwei;Liu Zhihua;Wang Jianxiong(School of Labor Relations and Human resources,China University of Labor Relations,Beijing 100048,China;School of Economics and Management,Institute of Disaster Prevention,Langfang 065201,Hebei,China)
出处
《技术经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2022年第8期23-33,共11页
Journal of Technology Economics
基金
北京市社会科学基金一般项目“减排目标约束下京津冀地区间横向碳生态补偿机制研究”(19GLB015)。
关键词
碳交易试点
绿色全要素生产率
双重差分模型
中介效应
carbon trading pilot
green total factor productivity
difference-in-differences model
mediation effect
