摘要
面对“双碳”目标下的减碳紧约束,推进县域新型城镇化低碳发展已成为广泛共识。本文基于京津冀149个一般区县单元面板数据集,构建测度新型城镇化与低碳发展水平的综合评价指标体系。运用探索性空间数据分析、耦合协调度模型等方法,分析其时空演化格局、集聚特征和耦合协调度分异。进而借助时间轨迹分析将时空耦合结果进行转化并实现地域分工落位,以此划分协调示范区、新型城镇化提升区、潜力发展区和新旧动能转换区4类发展分区。最后,就以上新型城镇化低碳发展分区提出针对性规划响应机制。以期为京津冀县域推进和完善新型城镇化战略,如期实现“双碳”目标提供学理支撑和实践指导。
In the face of the tight constraints of carbon reduction under the ’double carbon’ goal, it has become a broad consensus to promote the low-carbon development of county new urbanization. Based on the panel data set of 149 counties(districts) in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, a comprehensive evaluation index system to measure the level of new urbanization and low-carbon development was constructed. Then, this paper analyzed the spatio-temporal evolution pattern, agglomeration characteristics and coupling coordination degree differentiation through the exploratory spatial data analysis and coupling coordination degree model. Besides, time trajectory analysis was used to transform the law of space-time evolution into the location of regional division of labor. And based on that, four type zones which were coordination demonstration zone, new urbanization promotion area, potential development zone and old-new driver conversion zone were established. Finally, this study proposed the planning response mechanism for each zone to provide theoretical support and practical guidance for Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei counties to promote and improve the new urbanization strategy and achieve the goal of ’double carbon’ as scheduled.
作者
曾鹏
刘锦洋
ZENG Peng;LIU Jinyang
出处
《小城镇建设》
2022年第9期70-78,共9页
DEVELOPMENT OF SMALL CITIES & TOWNS
基金
国家自然科学基金面上项目“城镇化政策演进与京津冀乡村空间网络变迁的响应机制研究”(编号:51978447)。
关键词
新型城镇化
区县单元
低碳发展
耦合协调
京津冀
new urbanization
county unit
low-carbon development
coupling coordination
Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region
