摘要
本文基于价值环流特征识别内需主导型的全球价值链(GVC)分工深化程度,考察其对国际经济协动的影响。主要结论有:一是深化内需主导型GVC分工将通过转换增加值创造的动力结构,为宏观经济带来独立于国外经济低迷的利益及滞后于国外经济繁荣的弊端,但利大于弊,可助力经济平稳运行;二是依靠外包中间品环节构建内需主导型GVC将抑制上述经济独立利益,尤其当向发达国家外包该环节时,这一现象更为突出,同时这也是发展中国家内需主导型GVC并不能使其独立于国外经济低迷的原因,经济发展水平较高的国家则相反;三是深化内需主导型GVC可通过增强内生增长动力的方式加速一国经济增长,进而弥补以上弊端,但该作用随着内需主导型GVC分工深化而递减。上述结论可为新发展格局下的经济维稳政策制定与风险防范提供依据。
Measuring the depth of domestic demand oriented Global Value Chains(GVC) based on the characteristics of value-added circulation, the paper studies its impact on international economic synch-ronization. The main conclusions are as follow: First, deepening domestic demand oriented GVC through transforming the motive force structure of value-added creation, will bring about both benefit of macro-economy’s independence from foreign economic downturn and drawback of lagging behind foreign economic prosperity, while the benefit outweighs drawback, thereby it is conducive to stable operation of economy.Second, relying on outsourcing of intermediate products segment to establish domestic demand oriented GVC will inhibit the above-mentioned economic independent benefit, especially when outsourcing segment to developed countries. Meanwhile, this is also the reason why domestic demand oriented GVC established by developing countries cannot make its economy independent from foreign economic downturn, while the countries with high economic development are in opposite. Third, deepening domestic demand oriented GVC will enhance the endogenous growth momentum, so that a country can achieve faster growth to make up for the above drawback, however this effect tends to gradually weaken with the deepening of domestic demand oriented GVC. This can provide reference for economic stabilitymaintenance policy-making and risk prevention under the new development paradigm.
作者
文武
黄海蓉
袁佳煜
Wen Wu;Huang Hairong;Yuan Jiayu(College of Economics and Management,Zhejiang Sci-Tech University,Hangzhou 310018;Global Institute for Zhejiang Merchants Development,Zhejiang University qf Technology,Hangzhou 310023)
出处
《浙江社会科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2022年第5期17-28,155,共13页
Zhejiang Social Sciences
基金
国家社会科学基金青年项目“全球价值链嵌入下‘稳增长’的实现机制及策略研究”(18CJL011)。
关键词
内需主导型GVC
经济协动
中间品
增加值
回流
domestic demand oriented GVC
economic synchronization
intermediate products
valueadded
backflow
