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“2-4”模型及关联规则下塔吊坍塌事故致因分析 被引量:6

Cause Analysis of Tower Crane Collapse Accident Using “2-4” Model and Association Rules
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摘要 基于事故致因“2-4”模型,从人、物、环境、组织4个层面构建塔吊坍塌事故致因初步模型.对收集的100起塔吊坍塌事故案例,运用“0-1”法则建立事故致因数据库;通过Apriori算法和“2-4”模型,挖掘塔吊坍塌事故的致因链.结果表明:缺乏安全教育培训、安全生产责任制度未落实、安全生产保障制度缺失为重点致因,且均属于“2-4”模型中的组织层面;提出塔吊坍塌事故预防措施,并通过实证分析证明了致因链及预防措施的有效性. Based on the “2-4” model of accident cause,the preliminary model of tower crane collapse accident cause was constructed from four levels of human,material,environment and organization.Based on 100 cases of tower crane collapse accident,the database of accident cause was established by using “0-1” rule.Through the Apriori algorithm and the “2-4” model,the cause chain of the tower crane collapse accident was obtained.The results showed that the lack of safety education and training,the failure to implement the safety production responsibility system,and the lack of safety production guarantee system were key causes,and they all belonged to the organizational level in the “2-4” model.Preventive measures of tower crane collapse accident were put forward,and effectiveness of causal chain and preventive measures were proved by empirical analysis.
作者 唐琳瑶 祁神军 叶云珊 张云波 TANG Linyao;QI Shenjun;YE Yunshan;ZHANG Yunbo(School of Civil Engineering,Huaqiao University,Xiamen 361021,China)
出处 《华侨大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 2022年第3期323-329,共7页 Journal of Huaqiao University(Natural Science)
基金 国家自然科学基金青年基金资助项目(71303082) 福建省软科学科技计划项目(2019R0056)。
关键词 关联规则 APRIORI算法 塔吊坍塌事故 事故致因“2-4”模型 事故致因链 association rules Apriori algorithm tower crane collapse accident “2-4”model of accident cause accident cause chain
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