摘要
在汇总已有学者的相关研究成果的基础上,基于物质资本、人力资本、土地资本、技术水平、消费水平和产业结构共6个中介因素构建了含有8个潜变量、21个观测变量的PLS—结构方程模型。然后,以长三角城市群2010—2018年的面板数据为基础,运用SmartPLS3.0工具对长三角城市群城镇化促进经济增长的影响效应和影响路径进行了实证研究。根据模型的运行结果,得到以下研究结论:长三角城市群城镇化主要通过物质资本、人力资本、土地资本、技术水平和消费水平这5个中介因素对经济增长产生正向的影响效应,其效应程度依次为0.162、0.145、0.145、0.097、0.313,贡献度依次为18.8%、16.8%、16.8%、11.3%、36.3%;城镇化通过产业结构这一中介变量对经济增长的影响效应没有通过显著性检验,故认为产业结构这一因素在城镇化对经济增长影响效应研究中的中介作用并不明显。
On the basis of summarizing the relevant research results of existing scholars,this paper constructs a PLS-SEM with 8 latent variables and 21 observed variables based on the six mediating factors of material capital,human capital,land capital,technological level,consumption level and industrial structure.Then,based on the panel data of the Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration from 2010 to 2018,this paper makes an empirical study on the effect and path of urbanization promoting economic growth in the Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration by using SmartPLS.According to the running results of the model,the following research conclusions are drawn:The urbanization of Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration has a positive effect on economic growth mainly through five intermediary factors,for example,material capital,human capital,land capital,technology level and consumption level.The degree of effect is 0.162,0.145,0.145,0.097 and 0.313 respectively,and the contribution is 18.8%,16.8%,16.8%,11.3%and 36.3%respectively.The effect of urbanization on economic growth through industrial structure is not significant.Therefore,it is considered that the intermediary role of industrial structure in the study of the effect of urbanization on economic growth can be ignored.
作者
陈俊梁
史欢欢
林影
毛丹
CHEN Jun-liang;SHI Huan-huan;LIN Ying;MAO Dan(School of Business,Suzhou University of Science and Technology,Suzhou 215009,China;Party School of the Central Committee of C.P.C(National Academy of Governance),Beijing 100091,China)
出处
《经济问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2022年第4期49-57,共9页
On Economic Problems
基金
国家社会科学基金项目“基于农村股份合作的中国特色新型城镇化道路研究”(14BKS059)
江苏省研究生科研创新项目“长三角地区乡村振兴水平比较研究”(KYCX20-2789)。
关键词
长三角城市群
城镇化
经济增长
the Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomerations
urbanization
economic growth
