摘要
中国与欧盟互为重要的经贸伙伴。由于近年来国际环境的变化以及新冠疫情的冲击,中欧经贸关系面临调整。本文从全球价值链视角出发,基于出口增加值核算方法探究中欧经贸依赖关系的变化及其影响。文章认为,中欧之间单向的非对称性依赖关系有所降低,中国价值链的独立性不断提高,双方在制造业领域价值链高度融合且相互依赖,中东欧国家相比于西欧国家更加依赖中国。尽管欧盟对中国的依赖性上升,但仍占据全球贸易和价值链的优势地位。随着中美竞争加剧以及欧盟对华态度转变,后疫情时代中欧价值链面临短平化、就近化重塑,中欧企业的全球化策略将面临越来越高的政治风险。即便如此,鉴于双方价值链高度融合带来的广泛经济利益关系,经贸关系仍将是中欧关系的压舱石。
China and the EU are important trade partners. However, with the changes in internationalenvironment and the impacts of COVID-19, the economic relations between China and EUare facing reconstruction. From the perspective of the global value chains, this paper analy-zes the changes in the economic interdependence between China and the EU and the conse-quential influences. It finds that the asymmetric dependence between China and the EU hasbeen mitigated and that China’s independence in the global industrial chains has been en-hanced. The manufacturing industry of China and the EU is highly integrated and interde-pendent and the CEECs are more dependent on China than the Western European countries.As a whole, in spite of the EU’s increased dependence on China, it is still playing a cen-tral role in the global trade and industrial chains. With the intensified competition betweenChina and the United States and the EU’s changing attitude towards China, the global in-dustrial chains will become more simplified and regionalized in the post-pandemic era andthe Chinese and European enterprises will face higher political risks. But in view of the ex-tensive mutual economic interests between the two sides, the economic and trade relationswill still serve as the ballast of China-EU relations.
出处
《欧洲研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2022年第1期85-108,I0004,共25页
Chinese Journal of European Studies
基金
国家社会科学基金青年项目“百年大变局下中国与欧盟产业链协同发展研究”(项目批准号:21CGJ024)的阶段性成果。
