摘要
为识别影响中国草食畜产品进口快速增长的主导因素及其影响路径,基于2000~2019年的贸易数据,将价格因素和国内需求因素纳入同一研究框架,建立中国草食畜产品进口三元边际的联立方程模型。结果表明:中国草食畜产品进口增长主要由国内外价差驱动,经济发展和人口增长并未构成当前草食畜产品进口激增的动因;人均收入水平的提升通过价格边际促进草食畜产品进口量的增加;降低双边贸易成本有利于扩展草食畜产品进口的广度;双边自贸区的建立通过扩大贸易产品范围促进中国草食畜产品进口总量的增长。
In order to identify the leading factors for the rapid growth of China′s herbivorous animal products imports and their way to influence total imports, based on the importing data from 2000 to 2019, price factors and domestic demand factors were incorporated into the same research framework, and a simultaneous equation model of the three margins of China′s herbivorous animal products imports was established. The results show that the growth of China′s imports of herbivorous animal products are mainly driven by domestic and foreign price differences. The influences of economic development and population growth do not constitute the driving force behind the current surge in importing of herbivorous animal products. The increase in income level per capita promotes the increase in importing of herbivorous animal products through the price margin. Reducing the cost of bilateral is conducive to expanding the breadth of herbivorous animal products imports, and the establishment of bilateral free trade areas has led to an increase in China′s total imports of herbivorous animal products by expanding the range of trading products.
作者
王如玉
肖海峰
WANG Ruyu;XIAO Haifeng(College of Econoniics and Management,China Agricultural University,Beijing 100083,China)
出处
《干旱区资源与环境》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2022年第2期31-37,共7页
Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment
基金
农业农村部和财政部项目(CARS-39-22)资助。
关键词
草食畜产品
三元边际
国内外价差
国内消费需求
贸易成本
herbivorous animal products
three margins
domestic and international price difference
domestic consumption
trade cost
