摘要
"增产"和"增收"是粮食主产区设立的两大重要目标。既有研究普遍强调粮食主产区设立对于粮食增产的贡献,然而,在实现增产的同时,农民收入是否提高尚未得到充分重视。将2004年全国13个粮食主产区的设立视为一次准自然实验,基于1997-2018年省级面板数据,采用双重差分模型系统考察了粮食主产区设立对农民收入的影响。研究发现:粮食主产区设立对农民家庭经营性收入具有显著的促增效应,但对工资性收入具有削减效应。具体而言,与非粮食主产区省份相比,粮食主产区的设立使得13个粮食主产区省份的家庭经营性收入相对增加了455.852元/人,工资性收入相对减少了532.567元/人;粮食主产区设立影响农民收入的主要路径依赖于土地经营规模的扩张。整体而言,粮食主产区设立通过改变农民在务工与务农之间的资源分配模式,实现了农民总收入的动态平衡。本文认为,在继续推进粮食主产区政策兜底农业生产的同时,应当进一步强化扶持农村劳动力多元化就业等政策,拓宽农民增收渠道,打好巩固"增产增收"的政策组合拳,实现农民总收入稳步提高。
Increasing grain production and increasing income are two important goals of the policy of major grain producing areas. Previous studies focused on the contribution of the policy of major grain producing areas to increasing grain production. However, whether to achieve an increase in income while achieving an increase in grain production has not been given sufficient attention. Therefore, the article regards the establishment of 13 major grain producing areas in 2004 as a quasi-natural experiment. Based on the panel data of 31 China’s provinces obtained from 1997 to 2018,this paper systematically investigates the effects of the policies applied in major grain producing areas on farmers’ income by difference-in-difference method. The conclusions are as follows. The policy of the major grain producing areas has a significant positive effect on farmers’ household income, but has a significant negative effect on their wage income. Specifically, compared with non-major grain producing areas, the policy of the main grain production areas resulted in a relative increase of 455.852 yuan in farmers’ household income and a relative decrease of 532.567 yuan in wage income in the 13 major grain-producing provinces. The increasing effect of farmers’ household income is mainly due to the expansion of the grain planting scale to achieve the policy goals. On the whole, the policy of major grain producing areas change the allocation of resources between farming and working to achieve a dynamic balance of farmers’ disposable income. Therefore, this article believes that while continuing to promote policies to underpin agricultural production in the main grain-producing regions, policies to support diversified employment of rural labourers should be further strengthened to broaden the channels for farmers to increase their incomes, and a combination of policies to consolidate “increased production and income” should be put in place to achieve a steady increase in the disposable income of farmers.
作者
李红莉
张俊飚
童庆蒙
LI Hongli;ZHANG Junbiao;TONG Qingmeng
出处
《华中农业大学学报（社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2022年第1期105-115,共11页
Journal of Huazhong Agricultural University(Social Sciences Edition)
基金
国家社会科学基金重点项目“基于经济高质量发展的农业自然资源高效利用研究”(20AZD091)。
关键词
粮食主产区设立
增产增收
家庭经营性收入
土地经营规模
双重差分模型
major grain producing areas
increasing grain production and income
farmers’household income
the grain planting scale
difference-in-difference method
