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基于模糊集定性比较分析方法的中国绿色发展路径研究 被引量:2

Study on pathways of green development based on the fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis method in China
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摘要 现有研究多构建计量模型估计不同影响因素对绿色发展的净效应,而忽略了它们之间的不同组合方式对绿色发展的作用效果。运用DEA-SBM模型测算中国30个省份2015—2017年的绿色发展效率,然后利用模糊集定性比较分析方法考察影响绿色发展效率的各因素组合方式,找寻实现绿色发展的有效路径。结果表明:前期绿色发展有效率与资源不丰裕是实现绿色发展的必要条件;绿色发展的4条有效路径呈现出工业化后期型、现代服务业和高新技术产业型以及特色旅游经济型等3种类型;资源丰裕对经济体从粗放发展转向绿色发展存在“资源诅咒”现象。实现区域绿色发展的政策建议包括:强化政绩考核的绿色化;加强政府、企业与公众的配合与协作,实现多元主体合作共治;加强区域间交流合作,推动区域经济协同发展;综合运用市场和政府两种力量,助力陷入衰退的资源型地区顺利实现绿色转型。 Econometric models are applied to estimate the net effect of each influencing factor on green development in most existing studies,while these studies ignore the combined effects of influencing factors on green development.The DEA-SBM model is applied to measure the green development efficiency of 30 provinces in China from 2015 to 2017,and then the fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis method is used to explore the combined effects of factors that lead to the efficiency of green development in the paper,so as to find the effective path for the green development.The results show that the efficiency of early green development and scarce natural resources are necessary factors for efficient green development;four different configurations can trigger the efficiency of green development in China,which can be summarized into three modes:the late-stage industrialization mode,the modern service industry and the high-tech industry mode,and the characteristic tourism economy mode;the resource abundance has a negative contribution to the regions’transition to green development,so called Natural Resource Curse.Some suggestions are put forward to promote regional green development,including adding“green”indicators in the assessment of local officials;strengthening the cooperation of the government,enterprises and the public,and promoting the co-governance of multiple subjects;strengthening inter-regional communication and cooperation,and promoting the coordinated development;actively supporting the green transformation of resource-based regions that have fallen into decline with the power of the market and government.
作者 陈东景 赵麟斐 CHEN Dongjing;ZHAO Linfei(School of Economics, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266061, China)
出处 《重庆理工大学学报(社会科学)》 2021年第12期105-115,共11页 Journal of Chongqing University of Technology(Social Science)
基金 国家社会科学基金项目“财政纵向失衡对生态福利绩效的双重影响机制与管理对策研究”(21BGL269)。
关键词 绿色发展 模糊集定性比较分析方法 DEA-SBM模型 影响因素组合 green development fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis DEA-SBM model configuration of influencing factor
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