摘要
以山东省2003—2017年17个地级市的面板数据为样本,运用ESDA方法,探讨了山东省老龄化、政府支出与经济增长之间的空间分布特征。研究结果表明,老龄化、政府支出、经济增长三者之间具有空间相关性和非均衡性。在0-1邻接空间权重矩阵作为地理空间因素的参考基础上构建空间计量模型,结果表明,山东省老龄化存在显著为负的空间溢出性,政府支出存在显著为正的空间溢出性,老龄化与政府支出的交叉项存在显著为正的空间溢出性。在老龄化不断加深的背景下扩大本地区政府支出的规模不仅可以促进当地经济增长外,亦可促进邻近地区的经济增长。
Based on the panel data of 17 cities in Shandong Province from 2003 to 2017,it was discussed the spatial distribution characteristics between aging,government spending and economic growth by ESDA.The results show that there are spatial correlations and imbalances among aging,government spending and economic growth.Then based on the 0-1 adjacent spatial weight matrix as a geographic spatial factors,it was builded a spatial measurement model.The aging has significant negative spatial overflow in Shandong Province.Government spending has significant positive spatial overflow.And the cross term of aging and government spending has significant positive spatial spillover.This means that expanding the scale of government spending can not only promote local economic growth,but also promote the economic growth of surrounding areas in the context of increasing aging.
作者
刘俊琦
赵翰青
逯进
LIU Jun-qi;ZHAO Han-qing;LU Jin(School of Economics,Qingdao University,Qingdao 266061,China;ABB(China)Co.,Ltd.,Beijing 100015,China)
出处
《青岛大学学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
2021年第4期118-126,共9页
Journal of Qingdao University(Natural Science Edition)
基金
山东省社会科学规划项目(批准号:17CJJJ35)资助。
