摘要
目的研究应用于医学装备领域的技术成熟度分析评价方法,进行医学装备领域技术预测,提出相关技术发展决策建议。方法通过专利指标法和技术生命周期S曲线法对磁共振匀场技术专利文献数据进行分析,判断技术生命周期并预测技术成熟度。结果可以判断当前阶段磁共振匀场技术处于成熟期,预见2023年之后进入衰退期,需要进行相关技术替代。结论本文采取的技术生命周期判断、技术成熟度预测的方法,可用于企业或政府相关部门的技术预测,优先发展技术选择决策,具备实用价值。
Objective Research on the technology maturity analysis and evaluation methods applied in medical equipment field,make technology prediction in the field of medical equipmen medical equipment field,and put forward relevant technology development decisions and suggestions.Methods The Patent index method and technology life cycle S-curve method were used to analyze the patent literature data of magnetic resonance uniform field technology,judge the technology life cycle and predict the technology maturity.Results It can be judged that the current magnetic resonance shimming is in the mature stage,and it is predicted that it will enter the decline stage after 2023,so it needs to be replaced by relevant technologies.Conclusion The method of technology life cycle judgment and technology maturity prediction adopted in this paper can be used in the technology prediction of enterprises or relevant government departments,and it has practical value for the decision-making of technology selection.
作者
储呈晨
李斌
季智勇
王源冰
肖顺
CHU Chengchen;LI Bin;JI Zhiyong;WANG Yuanbing;XIAO Shun(Department of Medical Equipment,Sixth People’s Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiaotong University,Shanghai 200233,China;Center for Hospital Management Research,China Hospital Development Institute,Shanghai Jiao Tong University,Shanghai 201306,China)
出处
《中国医疗设备》
2021年第11期20-23,共4页
China Medical Devices
基金
国家重点研发计划(2019YFC0121805,2016YFC0106803)
上海市“科技创新行动计划”软科学重点项目(21692104600)。
