摘要
欧盟在阿富汗有重大地缘政治和安全利益,包括防止难民潮再现、打击恐怖主义、提升欧盟形象、输出西方价值观、增加地缘政治博弈筹码等。塔利班再次掌控阿富汗对欧盟是沉重打击,将给其带来较大安全和地缘政治上的不确定性。阿富汗变局凸显了欧盟由来已久的战略困境,特别是对美国过于依赖,无法做到战略自主;长期的教条式价值观外交压缩自身战略空间,难以构建"后美国时代"的务实合作体系;机制、权能等方面的局限性加剧理想与现实的冲突,欧盟作为一个整体难以在国际上发挥应有的作用等。阿富汗变局在特朗普之后再次对欧盟构成强刺激,欧盟内部展开了新一轮的讨论,独立自主意识也再次提升,但由于诸多制约因素的存在,欧盟战略调整将有其限度,其战略困境难以改善。
The European Union has significant geopolitical and security interests in Afghanistan: preventing the resurgence of refugees, combating terrorism, improving EU’s image, exporting Western values and increasing its geopolitical weight by transforming Afghanistan. The Taliban’s renewed control of Afghanistan means a heavy blow for the EU, and brings uncertainty in security and geopolitical issues. The Afghan changes highlight the long-standing strategic predicament of the EU: too much dependence on the US that prevents the EU from realizing strategic autonomy;long-term values-oriented diplomacy that compresses its own strategic space so tha a pragmatic cooperation system in the"post-American era"is hard to take shape;the limitations of mechanism and authority that aggravate the conflict between ideal and reality, which disables the EU as a whole to exert its due international influence. After Trump’s era, the Afghan changes have again stimulated the EU strongly;a new round of discussions has been started within the EU and the sense of independence has been reinforced. But due to a number of constraints, the EU’s strategic adjustment will have its limits, and it still faces difficulties to ge out of its strategic predicament.
出处
《现代国际关系》
CSSCI
北大核心
2021年第9期1-10,61,共11页
关键词
阿富汗
欧盟战略
欧美关系
Afghanistan
the European Union
EU-US relations
