摘要
文章采用国际贸易标准分类(SITC)Rev.3分类方法,分析了1998-2017年中亚五国对中国农产品出口多样性指数、相关多样性指数和不相关多样化指数的变化及其影响因素。研究表明:(1)20年间,中国从中亚国家进口农产品的多样性指数呈现曲折上升趋势,尤其是2014年之后上升趋势明显;(2)中亚国家的人力资本是提高中亚国家对中国农产品出口多样性的重要因素;(3)中国对中亚国家的投资对于相关多样性指数的增加有显著的促进作用。针对前述结果提出以下对策建议:(1)中国要加大对中亚国家的农业投资,使中亚国家成为中国稳定丰富的农产品进口基地;(2)进一步提升贸易便利化水平,扩大中亚国家对中国的贸易开放度;(3)多措并举提高当地人的农业知识水平和技能。
Using the International Standard Classification of Trade(SITC)Rev.3 classification method,this paper analyzes the changing trend of diversity index,related diversity index and unrelated diversity index and their influencing factors of the agricul⁃tural product exported to China from five central Asian countries from 1998 to 2017.The results have shown that:(1)In the past 20 years,the diversity index of China’s imports of agricultural products from Central Asian countries has shown a tortuous upward trend,especially after 2014;(2)Human capital of Central Asian countries is an important factor in increasing the diversity of their agricultural exports to China;(3)China’s investment in Central Asia has significantly promoted the increase in the relevant diversi⁃ty index.In response to above results,the following countermeasures and suggestions are proposed:(1)China should increase agri⁃cultural investment in Central Asian countries so that Central Asian countries will become China’s stable and rich agricultural im⁃port base;(2)Further promote trade facilitation and expand Central Asian countries openness to China’s trade;(3)Take multiple measures to improve the agricultural knowledge and skills of local people.
作者
郭玲霞
高贵现
徐雯
Guo Lingxia;Gao Guixian;Xu Wen(Luoyang Normal University,Luoyang 471934,China)
出处
《新疆农垦经济》
2021年第6期52-62,共11页
Xinjiang State Farms Economy
基金
国家社会科学基金青年项目(项目编号:15CGL036)
河南省高等学校青年骨干教师培养计划(项目编号:2019GGJS200)。
关键词
中亚五国
农产品
出口多样性
影响因素
five central asian countries
agricultural products
export
product diversity
influencing factors
