摘要
美日和美韩同盟关系的建立既有偶然性也有必然性,而起决定性作用的是美国大国竞争需要。尽管当前同盟内部争执不断,但美国已把中俄视为战略竞争对手,希望借同盟力量提升竞争优势,日本与韩国也希望借此服务地缘战略利益,美日和美韩同盟将继续发展下去。与此同时,美日与美韩同盟面临越来越大的压力,增大了中美关系发生"修昔底德陷阱"的可能,不利于朝鲜半岛问题对话解决,阻碍日韩两国提升对华关系,使同盟内部面临越来越大的张力。美日和美韩同盟"弱军事化"则是符合各方共同利益的安排。为此,中国应积极推动解决朝鲜半岛问题,促进中日和中韩关系稳定发展,并处理好中美关系。
The building process of US-Japan and US-ROK alliance both improved by causal factors and historical inevitability,in which the need of the US great power competition plays a decisive role.Today US treats China and Russia as strategic rivals,and Japan and ROK also have momentum to keep the alliance stable,so the US military presence in Japan and ROK will continue.Meanwhile,the US military presence in Japan and ROK also is facing stressed.It will increase the possibility of the Thucydides Trap between China and US.It is detrimental for Korea peninsular problem resolved through dialogue which US also prefer for.It will impede Japan and ROK to improve the relations with China.Even more and more tension will happen in the alliance system.The de-militarization is the arrangement conducive to every party in this region including US.By doing this,China should actively to involve and push for the solve of the Korea Peninsular problems;China should improve the relations with Japan and South Korea.Meanwhile,China should deal with the Sino-US relations well,in which dual leadership can be promoted.
作者
王俊生
WANG Junsheng(National Institute of Intemational Strategy,Chinese Acadenmy of Social Sciences,Beijing.100007 China)
出处
《云梦学刊》
2021年第5期16-25,共10页
Journal of Yunmeng
关键词
东北亚地区
美日军事同盟
美韩军事同盟
弱军事化
共同利益
Northeast Asia
US-Japan military alliance
US-ROK military alliance
de-militarization
common interest
