摘要
This paper presents the framework of probabilistic power system planning.The basic concepts,criteria,procedure,analysis techniques and tasks of probabilistic power system planning are discussed.Probabilistic reliability evaluation and probabilistic economic assessment are two key steps.It should also be recognized that probabilistic system planning has a wider coverage than these two aspects.An actual example using a utility system is given to demonstrate an application of probabilistic transmission development planning.
基金
supported in part by the National 111 Project of China(B08036).