摘要
本文基于2013~2019年中国31个省市的面板数据,采用固定效应模型和面板分位数回归模型,探究电子商务发展对产业结构升级的异质性影响。研究发现,电子商务发展促进了产业结构高度化,但对产业结构合理化没有显著影响。随着产业结构的升级,电子商务对产业结构高度化的边际促进作用递减,但减少的幅度较小。异质性研究发现,电子商务对西部地区的产业结构升级促进作用最强、中部其次、东部最弱。此外,现阶段,电子商务促进了第三产业的结构升级,对制造业结构升级没有显著促进作用。
Based on the panel data of 31 provinces from 2013 to 2019,this paper uses fixed effect model and panel quantile regression model to explore the heterogeneous impact of e-commerce development on industrial structure upgrading.The research shows that the development of e-commerce promotes the supererogation of the industrial structure,but has no significant impact on the rationalization of industrial structure.As industrial structure updates,the promotion effect of e-commerce on the supererogation of the industrial structure decreases marginally,but the reduction of the extent is small.The heterogeneity study finds that the promotion effect of e-commerce to the industrial structure is the strongest in the west region,followed by the central region,and the eastern region is the weakest.In addition,e-commerce has contributed to the structural upgrading of the tertiary sector of the economy,with no significant effect on the structural upgrading of the manufacturing sector.
作者
赵晓军
刘晓莹
桑义汉
易帅湘
Zhao Xiaojun;Liu Xiaoying;Sang Yihan;Yi Shuaixiang(School of Economics and Management,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China)
出处
《工业技术经济》
北大核心
2021年第7期134-140,共7页
Journal of Industrial Technological Economics
基金
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助“非线性时间序列的多标度异质性关系研究”(项目编号:2020JBW012)。
关键词
电子商务
产业结构升级
分位数模型
地区异质性
产业异质性
经济发展水平
e-commerce
upgrading of industrial structure
quantile model
regional heterogeneity
industrial heterogeneity
economic development level
