摘要
为评估我国农业生物质发电潜力及减排的环境效益,以相关统计数据为依据,结合相应的草谷比系数和资源可收集系数,估算2018年我国农业生物质资源理论可获得量与实际可获得量。通过计算各类农业生物质资源的低位热值,测算其发电潜力。基于生命周期理论(LCA),依据各类资源和污染物的减排量及其资源和环境价值,核算减排的环境收益。研究表明:2018年我国农业生物质净剩余量的发电潜力为14 051.38MW,减排的环境收益为14 943 139.79元,应在资源禀赋和发展条件好的地区优先布局农业生物质发电产业,注重弥补农业生物质发电的正外部性。具体应做到:(1)整合供给端无序状态,充分发挥资源优势;(2)重视资源禀赋和发展条件,遵循因地制宜发展原则;(3)补偿农业生物质发电的正外部性,积极引进清洁发展机制(CDM)项目。
In order to evaluate the potential of agricultural biomass power generation and the environmental benefits of emission reduction in China,the theoretical and actual available quantities of agricultural biomass resources in China are estimated by using the relevant statistical data and combining with the relevant grass to grain ratio coefficient and the resource availability coefficient.The low calorific value of all kinds of agricultural biomass resources is calculated to evaluate their power generation potential.Based on the LCA theory,the environmental benefits of emission reduction are calculated according to the emission reduction of various resources and pollutants and their resource and environmental values.The research results show that in 2018,China’s net surplus of agricultural biomass power generation potential is 14051.38 MW,and the environmental benefit of emission reduction is 14943139.79 Yuan.The priority should be given to the distribution of agricultural biomass power generation industry in areas with good resource endowment and development conditions,and the positive externalities of agricultural biomass power generation should be compensated.Specifically,it should:(1)Integrate the disordered state of the supply side and give full play to the advantages of resources;(2)Attach importance to resource endowment and development conditions,and follow the principle of development according to local conditions;(3)Compensate the positive ex-ternality of agricultural biomass power generation and actively introduce CDM projects.
作者
张晟义
张杰
王童
陈明月
ZHANG Shengyi;ZHANG Jie;WANG Tong;CHEN Mingyue(School of Business Administration,Xinjiang University of Finance and Economics,Urumqi 830012,China)
出处
《云南农业大学学报（社会科学版）》
2021年第4期51-60,共10页
Journal of Yunnan Agricultural University(Social Science)
基金
国家自然科学基金项目“地沟油地下经济的生成机理及其对能源生物质供应体系的损害”(71362032)
新疆财经大学研究生科研创新项目“不确定条件下农林生物质发电供应链可持续发展的问题与建议”(XJUFE2020K033)。
关键词
农业生物质
净剩余发电潜力
环境效益
生命周期理论
agricultural biomass
net surplus of power-generating potential
environmental benefits
LCA
