摘要
文章以"一带一路"倡议为背景,考察基础设施对全球价值链分工地位的影响作用以及传导路径。利用"一带一路"沿线37个国家的面板数据构建计量模型,采用静态面板OLS和动态面板系统GMM方法,实证检验基础设施对全球价值链分工地位的影响。结果显示,基础设施能够显著促进一国全球价值链分工地位的提升;人力资本积累、物质资本积累、FDI技术扩散和中间品进口技术溢出的正向效应是基础设施促进一国全球价值链分工地位提升的主要传导途径。进一步分析发现,基础设施对全球价值链分工地位的影响存在非线性关系,其影响效应呈现"倒U"型。虽然,中国和"一带一路"沿线国家基础设施建设水平已具备一定的规模,但是还存在很大的缺口,总体上尚处在"倒U"型拐点值的左侧。因此,中国和"一带一路"沿线国家应该继续加强基础设施建设,为其全球价值链分工地位的提升提供外部保障。文章的研究结论为深化"一带一路"倡议,加速中国和沿线国家基础设施互联互通,推动全球价值链分工地位的提升提供参考依据。
Based on the Belt and Road(B&R)Initiative,this paper aims to investigate the impact of the infrastructure on division status in global value chain(GVC)and the transmission path.According to the panel data of 37 countries along B&R,the paper constructs an econometric model and empirically examines the impact of the infrastructure on division status in GVC by using the static panel OLS and the dynamic panel system GMM.The results show that the infrastructure can significantly promote a country’s division status in GVC and the positive effects of human capital accumulation,material capital accumulation,FDI technology diffusion and technology spillover of intermediate goods import are the main transmission channels for the infrastructure to promote a country’s division status in GVC.Further analysis reveals that the impact of the infrastructure on division status in GVC is nonlinear,presenting an inverted U-shape.Although China and the countries along B&R have already had a certain scale of infrastructure construction,there is still a big gap and their levels of infrastructure construction are still on the left side of inflection point of the inverted U-shape on the whole.Therefore,China and the countries along B&R should continue to strengthen the infrastructure construction and provide external guarantee for the improvement of their division status in GVC.The conclusion of this paper provides references for deepening B&R Initiative,accelerating the infrastructure connectivity between China and the countries along B&R,and promoting the upgrading of division status in GVC.
作者
郝晓
王林彬
孙慧
赵景瑞
HAO Xiao;WANG Lin-bin;SUN Hui;ZHAO Jing-rui
出处
《国际经贸探索》
CSSCI
北大核心
2021年第4期19-33,共15页
International Economics and Trade Research
基金
教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大招标项目(17JJD850002)
新疆大学博士生科技创新项目(XJUBSCX-201917)。
关键词
基础设施
全球价值链分工
“一带一路”
infrastructure
division status in global value chain(GVC)
the Belt and Road(B&R)
