摘要
农业转移人口市民化意愿受个体可行能力与流入地城市发展水平的共同影响。以全国性调查数据为基础,采用分层非线性模型揭示不同可行能力的农业转移人口在不同流入地市民化意愿差异及其影响因素。结果表明:(1)农业转移人口整体定居意愿与户籍转换意愿主要由个人层面可行能力差异造成,定居意愿与户籍转换意愿差异中分别有16.90%和22.91%来自地区发展的差异,主要由常住人口总量、经济水平、社会保障和公共服务供给等宏观结构性因素所致。(2)地区生活水平和劳动力市场活跃程度较高的地区更容易产生聚集经济效应,吸引农业转移人口流入。(3)户籍开放程度高与经济稳健发展的中小城市更吸引农业转移人口落户。因此应从农业转移人口可行能力改善、农村权益有偿退出与流转政策创新、区域间协调发展等方面创新完善。
The willingness of the agricultural population’s citizenization is affected by the combination of individual capability factors and the inflow regional development factors.In this paper,we use the national survey data and Hierarchical Generalized Linear Model and reveals the mechanism of structural adjustment of regional characteristics to the average willingness of the agricultural population’s citizenization.The results show that(1)the difference in capability is the main factor and more than 16.90% and 22.91%of the total settlement willingness and hukou transfer willingness difference of China’s floating population come from regional differences,mainly due to the macrostructural factors,such as total permanent population,economic development level, social security level,and public service supply.(2)The regions with higher living standard and more active labor market are easier to form aggregate economic effect and attract the inflow of the rural migrants.(3)The medium and small cities with higher openness of hukou and more stable economic development are more likely to draw the migrants to change their hukou status.So efforts should be made in improving the agricultural population’s individual capability,innovating the polices of the paid withdrawal and transfer of the agricultural population’s rights, and enhancing the coordinated development of different regions.
作者
车蕾
杜海峰
靳小怡
CHE Lei;DU Haifeng;JIN Xiaoyi(School of Public Policy and Administration,Xi’an Jiaotong University,Xi’an 710049,China)
出处
《西北农林科技大学学报（社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2021年第3期125-136,共12页
Journal of Northwest A&F University(Social Science Edition)
基金
国家社会科学基金重点项目(19ARK005)。
关键词
农业转移人口
市民化意愿
城市发展水平
户籍制度改革
transfer of agricultural population
willingness to be urban citizens
urban development level
reform of hukou system
