摘要
本文基于煤炭供需数据资料,建立层次分析模型分析近期影响煤炭的重要因素,并根据秦皇岛近五年动力煤价格的波动,建立了RBF预测模型来预测不同时间与情形下的煤炭价格走向。同时,在分析了大量历史、地域、政策突发事件等不同因素的影响下,建议采取产业升级、限制进口煤输入量、加快技术革新、推动环境保护等方式有效稳定煤炭价格。
Based on the data of coal supply and demand,this paper establishes a Hierarchical Analysis Model to analyze the important factors affectingcoalprice in the near future.According to the power coal price in Qinhuangdao in recent five years,RBF Prediction Model is established to predict thetrendofcoal price in different times and circumstances.At the same time,after analyzing the influence of a large number of datathatcoverhistory,region and policy,etc.The following suggestions are given to stabilize coal prices effectively:promoting industry upgrading,limiting import coal input,accelerating technological innovation and promoting environmental protection.
作者
饶世杰
肖欢畅
RAO Shi-jie;XIAO Huan-chang(School of Flight Technology,Civil Aviation Flight University of China,Deyang Sichuan 618307)
出处
《数字技术与应用》
2021年第3期215-219,共5页
Digital Technology & Application
基金
2021年民航局民航教育人才项目“基于民航创新型和应用型人才培养的产教融合实践平台建设”。
