摘要
过去由资本、技术、贸易等因素驱动形成的全球价值链更重视市场自然选择规则,忽视竞争、安全等要素。在中美结构性矛盾日益突出、新冠疫情催生对华产业依赖恐惧、多边贸易体系向少边贸易体系转变和地缘博弈竞争加剧等因素的推动下,全球价值链发展将兼具经济和安全双重属性,即遵循市场与社会共同选择规则,全球价值链向战略价值链方向演进。印太地区作为权力博弈与地理交叉的中枢场域,其价值链的崛起与构建将是全球价值链剧变的标志性成果。在构建"印太价值链"过程中,角色和利益的异质性决定了不同国家对这一价值链的差异化战略诉求。
In the past,global value chains driven by such factors as capital,technology and trade,emphasized the rules of natural selection by the market,and ignored factors such as competition and security. Due to factors such as the worsening structural contradictions between China and the United States,the fear of dependence on China’s industries triggered by COVID-19 pandemic,the transformation from a multilateral trading system to a trading system with fewer laterals,and the intensified geopolitical competition,the development of global value chains will show economic and security attributes,which means following the rule of selection by the market and the society and evolution of global value chains towards strategic value chains. The Indo-Pacific region is a central field featured by power games and geographical crossroads,and the rise and construction of its value chain represents a milestone of drastic changes in the global value chain. During the process of constructing the "Indo-Pacific value chain",the heterogeneity of roles and interests will lead to differentiated strategic demands of countries on the value chain.
作者
杜志远
Du Zhiyuan(School of Advanced International and Area Studies,East China Normal University;Yu Nanping Studio,a Decision Consultation Research Base of Shanghai Municipal People’s Government)
出处
《国际关系研究》
CSSCI
2021年第1期67-81,M0006,共16页
Journal of International Relations
关键词
新冠疫情
印太战略
权力博弈
印太价值链
COVID-19
Indo-Pacific strategy
power game
Indo-Pacific value chain