摘要
利用2005—2018年的面板数据,引入拓展的贸易引力模型,对陕西省与“丝绸之路经济带”沿线12个国家的贸易潜力进行实证分析。分析结果表明:双方的市场规模、人口数量、贸易结合度、贸易距离等在不同程度上影响双边贸易潜力;陕西省与“丝绸之路经济带”沿线各国的贸易结合度及贸易潜力也不尽相同,潜力释放具有明显差异。为进一步提升陕西省与“丝绸之路经济带”沿线国家的贸易潜力,可采取如下措施:分类施策,挖掘贸易潜力;加快发展经济,增强自身辐射力、影响力;加快互联互通,缩小交易成本。
Based on the panel data from 2005 to 2018,an extended trade gravity model is introduced to empirically analyze the trade potential between Shaanxi Province and the 12 countries along the“Silk Road Economic Belt”.The results show that the market size,population size,trade integration degree and trade distance will affect the bilateral trade potentials to different degree;the degree of trade integration and trade potential between Shaanxi Province and the countries along the“Silk Road Economic Belt”are also different,and there are obvious differences in the potential release.In order to further enhance the trade potential between Shaanxi Province and the countries along the“Silk Road Economic Belt”,the following measures should be taken:adopting classified policies to explore the trade potential;accelerating the development of the economy to enhance their own radiation and influence;accelerating the connectivity to reduce the transaction cost.
作者
李勋来
卞付坤
LI Xun-lai;BIAN Fu-kun(College of Economics and Management,Qingdao University of Science and Technology,Qingdao 266061,China)
出处
《青岛科技大学学报（社会科学版）》
2021年第1期56-60,共5页
Journal of Qingdao University of Science and Technology(Social Sciences)
基金
山东省社会科学规划研究项目(19BYSJ22)。
