摘要
在将科技成果转化过程分为技术生产阶段与技术改造与应用阶段的基础上,结合GERT网络模型方法构建科技成果转化不确定性的测量模型,并提出不确定系数的测量方法,结合我国高技术产业18个子行业的科技创新、科技改造、科技成果投入数据,测度我国高技术产业18个子行业科技成果转化全过程及子阶段的不确定性。研究发现,我国高技术产业科技成果转化过程不确定性较高,提升空间较大,且其不确定性存在逐年缓慢上升的趋势;不同行业科技成果转化不确定性差异较大,并按照其各自特点将18个子行业划分为四大类,通过深入分析各个类别的特性,有针对性地提出降低我国高技术产业科技成果转化不确定性的政策建议。
By dividing the transformation process of scientific and technological achievements into the stage of technological production and the stage of technological transformation and application,this research adopts the GERT(Graphic Evaluation and Review Technique)network model method to construct a measurement model of the uncertainty in scientific and technological achievements transformation and put forward a method for measuring the uncertainty coefficient.By combining the data on scientific and technological innovation,technological transformation,and investment in scientific and technological achievements in 18 high-tech sub-industries in China,the uncertainty of the whole process and sub stage of the transformation of scientific and technological achievements of 18 sub-industries in China's high-tech industries are measured.It is found that the uncertainty in the transformation process of scientific and technological achievements in high-tech industries in China is relatively high,with much room for improvement,and the uncertainty is increasing slowly year by year.The uncertainty levels in the transformation of scientific and technological achievements vary between different industries,and according to their respective characteristics,the 18 sub-industries are divided into four categories.Through an in-depth analysis of the characteristics of each category,targeted policy suggestions are made to reduce the uncertainty in the transformation of scientific and technological achievements in China's high-tech industries.
作者
冯锋
邱莹莹
张雷勇
FENG Feng;QIU Ying-ying;ZHANG Lei-yong(School of Management,University of Science and Technology of China,Hefei 230026,Anhui,China;Post-doctoral Research Center of University of Science and Technology of China,Hefei 230026,Anhui,China;Post-doctoral Research Center of Hefei Xingtai Financial Holding(Group)Co.,Ltd.,Hefei 230071,Anhui,China)
出处
《华南理工大学学报（社会科学版）》
2021年第1期48-59,共12页
Journal of South China University of Technology(Social Science Edition)
基金
国家自然科学基金项目“产学研网络中共生现象机理研究”(710731151)
合肥市博士后科研项目“产学研多源流共生关系中主体地位嬗变机理研究”(20180548)。
关键词
科技成果转化
不确定性
GERT
高技术产业
transformation of scientific and technological achievements
uncertainty
GERT
high-tech industries
