摘要
基于新结构经济学理论,本文在测度偏离最优环境政策程度指标的基础上,首次考察了偏离最优环境政策对长期经济增长的影响。利用2003-2016年中国221个地级及以上城市数据,结合SBM-DDF方法重新估算了绿色全要素生产率,并以此为基础构建计量模型,实证结果表明:第一,偏离最优环境政策对中国经济增长具有显著的负向效应;第二,环境政策的偏离程度对经济增长的负向影响体现了经济发展阶段和要素禀赋结构的异质性;第三,环境政策的偏离度会通过扭曲产业结构进而对经济增长产生负向影响。本研究既为遵循"环境政策与产业结构"匹配性提供了研究基础,也为新时代中国经济高质量发展背景下制定合理的环境政策提供理论依据。
Under the theoretical framework of new structural economics,this paper tries to investigate the effect of the deviation from optimal environmental policy on economic growth on the basis of measuring the degree index of deviation from the optimal environmental policy.Using the SBM-DDF method,we re-estimate the green total factor productivity of China’s 221 prefecture-level cities from 2003 to 2016 and then construct an econometric model.The empirical results show that:firstly,the deviation from the optimal environmental policy has a significant negative effect on China’s economic growth;secondly,the negative impact of environmental policy on economic growth reflects the heterogeneity of development stage and resource endowment;thirdly,the deviation degree of environmental policy will have a negative impact on economic growth by distorting the industrial structure.This paper explores the optimal environmental policy from the perspective of new structural economics,which not only provides a research basis for the matching between"environmental policy and industrial structure",but also provides a theoretical basis for formulating reasonable environmental policies for China’s future high-quality development.
作者
朱欢
李欣泽
赵秋运
ZHU Huan;LI Xin-ze;ZHAO Qiu-yun(Institute of New Structural Economics,Peking University,100871;The Center for Economic Research,Shandong University,250100;Institute of New Structure Intellectual Property Research,211500)
出处
《上海经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2020年第11期56-68,共13页
Shanghai Journal of Economics
基金
国家社科基金青年项目“经济高质量发展的区域型产业政策转型研究”(项目编号:19CJL037)
国家社科基金一般项目“新结构经济学视角下我国跨越中等收入陷阱的路径研究”(项目编号:18BJL120)
中国博士后科学基金面上项目“发展战略的产业选择与中等收入陷阱:新结构经济学视角”(项目编号:2018M630001)
联合国计划开发署“Emission on the path of economic development in southern countries”(项目标号:00099936)阶段性成果之一。
关键词
新结构经济学
最优环境政策
偏离系数
绿色全要素生产率
要素禀赋结构
New Structural Economics
Optimal Environmental Policy
Coefficient of Deviation
Green Total Factor Productivity
Factor Endowment Structure
