摘要
本文通过分区域回归和门限效应分析,考察创新机制调节作用下就业结构升级对经济增长的影响机制。分析结果表明:(1)总体上,就业结构升级通过创新机制影响经济发展时存在显著的调节效应,创新环境的调节作用最大,产业升级次之,技术进步最小;(2)分区域看,三大地区的就业结构升级均能有效促进经济增长,创新机制的调节作用呈现“西强中弱”的分布格局;(3)从门限特征看,基于创新机制的就业结构升级影响经济发展时存在明显的门限效应,以创新环境和技术进步为门限变量时,经济效应呈现先升后降的“倒U型”趋势;以产业升级为门限变量时,经济效应逐渐强化。
This paper uses the sub-regional regression and the threshold effect analysis method to examine the impact of the employment structure upgrade on economic growth under the adjustment effect of the innovation mechanism.The paper shows that:(1)in general,there is a significant adjustment effect when the employment structure upgrade affects economic development through the innovation mechanism.The innovation environment has the largest adjustment effect,followed by industrial upgrading,and the smallest technological progress.(2)In terms of different regions,the upgrading of the employment structure in the three major regions can effectively promote economic growth,and the adjustment effect of the innovation mechanism presents a distribution pattern of"strong in the west and weak in the middle".(3)From the perspective of threshold characteristics,there is a clear threshold effect when the employment structure upgrade based on the innovation mechanism affects economic development.When the innovation environment and technological progress are used as the threshold variables,the economic effect shows a trend of"inverted U"rising first and then falling;when industrial upgrading is used as the threshold variable,the economic effect gradually strengthens.
作者
郭玲
汪洋
Guo Ling;Wang Yang(School of Economics,Nankai University,Tianjin 300071,China)
出处
《工业技术经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2020年第11期145-153,共9页
Journal of Industrial Technological Economics
关键词
创新机制
就业结构
门限效应
经济增长
调节效应
分区域回归
innovation mechanism
employment structure
threshold effect
economic grouth
moderating effect
sub-regional regression
